BKN

Brooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks

Any-day matchup · ratings as of Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET

NYK

Our pick

NYKNew York Knicks

81% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 81% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

AZMango model

BKN 19%NYK 81%

No market price for this matchup yet, so there is nothing to compare against.

Advantages Why Knicks can win

Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.5 points to the Knicks in our ratings.
Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Knicks 3rd (+7.6), Nets 28th (-9.9).
The Knicks' shooting (55.6% eFG%, 5th in the NBA) meets a Nets defense that ranks 28th.
Simulation: the Knicks win 8,060 of 10,000 simulated games.
The Knicks' offense (116.4 points per 100 possessions, 3rd in the NBA) meets a Nets defense that ranks 26th.

Disadvantages Why Knicks may not

Upset odds: the Nets win 1,940 of 10,000 simulations (19%). A 81% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Knicks lose by 5 or more.
Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Nets 11th (0.21), Knicks 25th (0.19).
Weak spot: the Knicks rank 25th of 30 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.19).
Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three can swing an NBA game by 15 points.

The line and our numbers

	Market	AZMango
Spread	No line yet	NYK -11.5
Total points	n/a	225.2
Win chance	BKN n/a · NYK n/a	BKN 19% · NYK 81%
Fair moneyline		BKN +417 · NYK -417

No betting line for this pairing. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

10,000 simulated games, possession by possession

Typical score: Knicks 118, Nets 107.
80% of simulations land between Nets by 5 and Knicks by 28.

See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

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Side by side

BKN		NYK
0-4	Record	2-3
-9.9 28	Net rating	+7.6 3
105.9 30	Offensive rating	116.4 3
115.9 26	Defensive rating	108.7 4
52.0% 30	Effective FG%	55.6% 5
57.2% 28	Opponent eFG%	53.3% 7
15.8 29	Turnovers per 100	13.7 9
23.8% 23	Offensive rebound %	29.3% 5
34.2% 27	3-point %	37.5% 3
100.4 24	Pace	99.8 28

Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).

Last 5 meetings

Date	Season	Score	Winner
2026-03-20	2025-26	NYK 93 @ BKN 92	NYK
2026-01-21	2025-26	BKN 66 @ NYK 120	NYK
2025-11-24	2025-26	NYK 113 @ BKN 100	NYK
2025-11-09	2025-26	BKN 98 @ NYK 134	NYK
2025-04-13	2024-25	NYK 113 @ BKN 105	NYK

No betting line exists for a game that isn't scheduled, so this uses our own power ratings (in the backtest they pick about 66% of winners, against about 68% for the closing line), with both teams at full strength.

Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 10,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 10,227 NBA games since 2018-19. Model version 1. How it works

Player matchups

BKN

Michael Porter Jr. F

24.1 pts, 7.1 reb, 2.9 ast in 32.5 min, 46% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

BKN

Julius Randle F

22.5 pts, 7.5 reb, 5.8 ast in 35.2 min, 48% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

BKN

Nic Claxton C

11.7 pts, 6.9 reb, 3.7 ast in 27.8 min, 57% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

NYK

Jalen Brunson G

26.5 pts, 3.3 reb, 6.6 ast in 35.5 min, 46% FG

vs a defense ranked 26 of 30 (opponent eFG% 57.2%)

NYK

Karl-Anthony Towns C

19.3 pts, 11.7 reb, 3.4 ast in 30.8 min, 51% FG

vs a defense ranked 26 of 30 (opponent eFG% 57.2%)

NYK

OG Anunoby F

17.5 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.1 ast in 33.6 min, 49% FG

vs a defense ranked 26 of 30 (opponent eFG% 57.2%)

Per-game averages, 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons. Ordered by Game Score.

Last time they met

The Knicks beat the Nets 93-92 on the road (2026-03-20). The difference: they made 13 more free throws (23 to 10) and they won the boards 52 to 40. Karl-Anthony Towns led the Knicks with 26 points.