DET

Detroit Pistons @ New York Knicks

Any-day matchup · ratings as of Oct 30, 7:50 PM ET

NYK

Our pick

NYKNew York Knicks

53% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

AZMango model

DET 47%NYK 53%

No market price for this matchup yet, so there is nothing to compare against.

Advantages Why Knicks can win

Home court: the Knicks play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
Simulation: the Knicks win 5,310 of 10,000 simulated games.
Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Knicks 9th (13.7), Pistons 24th (15.0).
Three-point shooting: Knicks 3rd (37.5%), Pistons 15th (35.8%).
Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Knicks 1st (76.9%), Pistons 15th (74.0%).

Disadvantages Why Knicks may not

Upset odds: the Pistons win 4,690 of 10,000 simulations (47%). A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Pistons +6.4, Knicks +0.2.
Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Pistons 6th (0.22), Knicks 25th (0.19).
Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Pistons 2nd (16.3), Knicks 15th (14.3).
Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Knicks lose by 16 or more.

The line and our numbers

	Market	AZMango
Spread	No line yet	NYK -0.8
Total points	n/a	218.2
Win chance	DET n/a · NYK n/a	DET 47% · NYK 53%
Fair moneyline		DET +113 · NYK -113

No betting line for this pairing. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

10,000 simulated games, possession by possession

Typical score: Knicks 110, Pistons 109.
80% of simulations land between Pistons by 16 and Knicks by 18.

See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Plain links. We are not paid for them and take no bets.

Side by side

DET		NYK
4-1	Record	2-3
+7.0 5	Net rating	+7.6 3
113.2 12	Offensive rating	116.4 3
106.2 2	Defensive rating	108.7 4
54.2% 16	Effective FG%	55.6% 5
51.4% 1	Opponent eFG%	53.3% 7
15.0 24	Turnovers per 100	13.7 9
30.8% 3	Offensive rebound %	29.3% 5
35.8% 15	3-point %	37.5% 3
102.1 19	Pace	99.8 28

Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).

Last 5 meetings

Date	Season	Score	Winner
2026-10-27	2026-27	DET 97 @ NYK 111	NYK
2026-02-19	2025-26	DET 126 @ NYK 111	DET
2026-02-06	2025-26	NYK 80 @ DET 118	DET
2026-01-05	2025-26	NYK 90 @ DET 121	DET
2025-05-01	Playoffs	NYK 116 @ DET 113	NYK

No betting line exists for a game that isn't scheduled, so this uses our own power ratings (in the backtest they pick about 66% of winners, against about 68% for the closing line), with both teams at full strength.

Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 10,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 10,227 NBA games since 2018-19. Model version 1. How it works

Player matchups

DET

Cade Cunningham G

24.6 pts, 5.5 reb, 9.4 ast in 35.1 min, 46% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

DET

Jalen Duren C

17.8 pts, 10.1 reb, 2 ast in 28.3 min, 63% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

DET

Tobias Harris F

14.1 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.3 ast in 29 min, 46% FG

vs a defense ranked 4 of 30 (opponent eFG% 53.3%)

NYK

Jalen Brunson G

26.5 pts, 3.3 reb, 6.6 ast in 35.5 min, 46% FG

vs a defense ranked 2 of 30 (opponent eFG% 51.4%)

NYK

Karl-Anthony Towns C

19.3 pts, 11.7 reb, 3.4 ast in 30.8 min, 51% FG

vs a defense ranked 2 of 30 (opponent eFG% 51.4%)

NYK

OG Anunoby F

17.5 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.1 ast in 33.6 min, 49% FG

vs a defense ranked 2 of 30 (opponent eFG% 51.4%)

Per-game averages, 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons. Ordered by Game Score.

Last time they met

The Knicks beat the Pistons 111-97 at home (2026-10-27). The difference: they made 9 more free throws (23 to 14) and they made 12 threes to 9, a 9-point swing. Karl-Anthony Towns led the Knicks with 27 points.