Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27 ·
A probability, not a promise. A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
Advantages Why 76ers can win
- Injury report: the Hornets list Coby White (out). That is about 5 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, 76ers +3.4, Hornets -7.2.
- Back-to-back: the Hornets played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): 76ers 5th (13.1), Hornets 28th (15.6).
- Simulation: the 76ers win 5,180 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why 76ers may not
- Back-to-back: the 76ers played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
- Upset odds: the Hornets win 4,820 of 10,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Hornets 8th (+3.7), 76ers 20th (-0.9).
- Home court: the Hornets play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Three-point shooting: Hornets 4th (37.2%), 76ers 23rd (34.7%).
The line and our numbers
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | PHI -0.6 |
| Total points | n/a | 221.3 |
| Win chance | PHI n/a · CHA n/a | PHI 52% · CHA 48% |
| Fair moneyline | PHI -107 · CHA +107 |
No betting line for this pairing. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.
10,000 simulated games, possession by possession
- Typical score: Hornets 111, 76ers 111.
- 80% of simulations land between 76ers by 18 and Hornets by 16.
Who's playing?
PHI 76ers
- Jaylen Brown Out Injury/Illness - Left Patellar
- Dominick Barlow Out Injury/Illness - Low Back Stress Reaction
- Jabari Walker Out Injury/Illness - Left Patellar Tendinopathy
- Tacko Fall Out Injury/Illness - Left Quadriceps Strain
- Ariel Hukporti Out Injury/Illness - Right Achilles Tendon Rupture / Tear
CHA Hornets
- Coby White Out Injury/Illness - Left Calf Strain
- Kon Knueppel Out Injury/Illness - Left Hamstring Strain
- Dennis Schroder Available Injury/Illness - Right Foot Inflammation / Soreness
- Grant Williams Out Injury/Illness - Right Hamstring Strain
- Michael Ajayi Out G League - Two - Way
- Kylan Boswell Out G League - Two - Way
From the NBA's official injury report (latest version we read). Teams must update it through the day; the final word comes about 30 minutes before tip-off. Out counts fully in our numbers, doubtful three-quarters, questionable about a third.
Side by side
| PHI | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-2 |
| -0.9 20 | Net rating | +3.7 8 |
| 111.2 19 | Offensive rating | 114.6 7 |
| 112.1 16 | Defensive rating | 110.9 10 |
| 52.7% 27 | Effective FG% | 54.7% 13 |
| 54.0% 11 | Opponent eFG% | 54.0% 10 |
| 13.1 5 | Turnovers per 100 | 15.6 28 |
| 25.1% 18 | Offensive rebound % | 30.5% 4 |
| 34.7% 23 | 3-point % | 37.2% 4 |
| 102.7 13 | Pace | 100.3 25 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | 2025-26 | PHI 118 @ CHA 114 | PHI |
| 2026-01-26 | 2025-26 | PHI 93 @ CHA 130 | CHA |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025-26 | CHA 121 @ PHI 125 | PHI |
| 2024-12-20 | 2024-25 | CHA 98 @ PHI 108 | PHI |
| 2024-12-16 | 2024-25 | PHI 121 @ CHA 108 | PHI |
Game chat
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Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 10,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 10,227 NBA games since 2018-19. Model version 1. How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so the ratings lean on scoring margins and efficiency.