Game day
Tip-offWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | NOP -5.9 |
| Total | n/a | 237.5 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UTA +206 NOP -206 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
10,000 simulated games
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What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why Pelicans can win
- Recent form: average margin over the last five games, Pelicans +3.2, Jazz -12.8.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.0 points to the Pelicans in our ratings.
- The Pelicans' offense (111.4 points per 100 possessions, 16th in the NBA) meets a Jazz defense that ranks 30th.
- Home court: the Pelicans play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Team matchup: where the Pelicans can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (24th of 30) meets the Jazz shooting defense (30th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (13th of 30) meets the Jazz defensive rebounding (18th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position favors the Pelicans, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Zion Williamson (21.0 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 17.5; filling in for Dejounte Murray, out, personal reasons) leading the way.
- Simulation: the Pelicans win 6,730 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Pelicans may not
- Injury report: the Pelicans list Dejounte Murray (out), Yves Missi (out). That is about 6 points of Game Score a night they have to replace.
- The Jazz' offense (110.6 points per 100 possessions, 18th in the NBA) meets a Pelicans defense that ranks 24th.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Pelicans lose by 11 or more.
- Weak spot: the Pelicans rank 26th of 30 in points allowed per game (120.0).
- Team matchup: where the Jazz can push back. Their offensive rebounding (15th of 30) meets the Pelicans defensive rebounding (23rd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Lauri Markkanen (Jazz: 25.5 pts, 6.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 19.2; filling in for Jaren Jackson Jr., out, right mcl tear) has the edge on Zion Williamson (Pelicans: 21.0 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 17.5; filling in for Dejounte Murray, out, personal reasons).
- Upset odds: the Jazz win 3,270 of 10,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Injury report
UTA Jazz
- OutJaren Jackson Jr.Injury/Illness - Right MCL Tear
- OutTrey AlexanderG League - Two - Way
- AvailableKobe BufkinG League - Two - Way
- OutHarrison IngramG League - Two - Way
- OutJusuf NurkicInjury/Illness - Right 2nd Plantar Plate Tear
NOP Pelicans
- AvailableTrey Murphy IIIInjury/Illness - Bilateral Patella Tendinopathy
- OutDejounte MurrayPersonal Reasons
- OutYves MissiInjury/Illness - Left Knee Contusion / Bone Bruise
- OutJordan PooleInjury/Illness - Left Ankle Tendinopathy
- OutMalik DiaG League - Two - Way
- OutJaron Pierre Jr.G League - Two - Way
- AvailableJulian ReeseG League - Two - Way
Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| UTA | NOP | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 3-4 |
| -8.2 26 | Net rating | -3.9 21 |
| 110.6 18 | Offensive rating | 111.4 16 |
| 118.9 30 | Defensive rating | 115.3 24 |
| 53.3% 21 | Effective FG% | 52.9% 24 |
| 57.5% 30 | Opponent eFG% | 55.5% 23 |
| 14.8 20 | Turnovers per 100 | 13.8 9 |
| 26.2% 15 | Offensive rebound % | 26.8% 13 |
| 34.4% 22 | 3-point % | 34.5% 21 |
| 105.5 2 | Pace | 104.1 9 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
- NOP 119 @ UTA 120Oct 23, 2026
- UTA 137 @ NOP 156Apr 7, 2026
- NOP 115 @ UTA 105Feb 28, 2026
- NOP 129 @ UTA 118Feb 26, 2026
- NOP 128 @ UTA 121Mar 2, 2025
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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