- Fairleigh Dickinson 0-1 · NEC 0-0, 4th · L1
- Butler 1-0 · Big East 0-0, 1st · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | BTLR -15.9 |
| Total | n/a | 148.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | FDU +1270 BTLR -1270 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- BTLR 82, FDU 67
- 8 in 10 games
- BTLR by 2 to BTLR by 30
Advantages Why Butler can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Butler about 8.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Butler 108th (+4.0), Fairleigh Dickinson 341st (-15.1) of 365.
- Butler's offense (112.1 points per 100 possessions, 102nd in Division I) meets a Fairleigh Dickinson defense that ranks 318th.
- Home court: Butler play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Team matchup: where Butler can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (185th of 365) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson shooting defense (341st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Butler play fast (62nd of 365 in pace), Fairleigh Dickinson slow (352nd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Michael Ajayi (Butler: 16.4 pts, 11.1 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 13.6) has the edge on Taeshaud Jackson (Fairleigh Dickinson: 10.3 pts, 8.4 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.8).
- Simulation: Butler win 4,635 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Butler may not
- Weak spot: Butler rank 265th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (15.3).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: a strength Butler may not get to use. Their offensive rebounding (47th of 365) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson defensive rebounding (82nd), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Butler on paper, but Taeshaud Jackson (10.3 pts, 8.4 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Fairleigh Dickinson win 365 of 5,000 simulations (7%). A 93% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
FDU Fairleigh Dickinson
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
BTLR Butler
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| FDU | BTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -15.1 341 | Net rating | +4.0 108 |
| 99.5 328 | Offensive rating | 112.1 102 |
| 114.6 318 | Defensive rating | 108.0 167 |
| -1.2 315 | Strength of schedule | +1.5 57 |
| 46.6% 341 | Effective FG% | 51.2% 185 |
| 55.8% 341 | Opponent eFG% | 51.5% 184 |
| 18.1 275 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.2 152 |
| 30.9% 169 | Offensive rebound % | 35.0% 47 |
| 29.6% 343 | 3-point % | 33.0% 230 |
| 64.8 352 | Pace | 71.3 62 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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