Kansas City @ Creighton
College basketball 2026-27 · Summit vs Big East · · CHI Health Center Omaha
A probability, not a promise. A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
Advantages Why Creighton can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Creighton about 7.3 points stronger over recent games.
- Simulation: Creighton win 4,615 of 5,000 simulated games.
- Creighton's shooting (53.0% eFG%, 103rd in Division I) meets a Kansas City defense that ranks 348th.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Creighton 178th (-0.0), Kansas City 361st (-24.7) of 365.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.2 points to Creighton in our ratings.
Disadvantages Why Creighton may not
- Upset odds: Kansas City win 385 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Kansas City 191st (16.4), Creighton 340th (13.7) of 365.
- Weak spot: Creighton rank 340th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (13.7).
- Weak spot: Creighton rank 305th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.22).
- Weak spot: Creighton rank 300th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (26.9%).
The line and our numbers
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | CREI -16 |
| Total points | n/a | 152.6 |
| Win chance | KC n/a · CREI n/a | KC 8% · CREI 92% |
| Fair moneyline | KC +1199 · CREI -1199 |
No betting line for this game yet (many small-conference games get one only on game day). Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.
5,000 simulated games, possession by possession
- Typical score: Creighton 84, Kansas City 68.
- 80% of simulations land between Creighton by 2 and Creighton by 30.
Still out?
College basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.
KC Kansas City
Every regular played last game.
CREI Creighton
Every regular played last game.
Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.
Side by side
| KC | CREI | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -24.7 361 | Net rating | -0.0 178 |
| 93.4 360 | Offensive rating | 109.1 157 |
| 118.1 349 | Defensive rating | 109.2 198 |
| -0.0 169 | Strength of schedule | +1.0 63 |
| 45.7% 351 | Effective FG% | 53.0% 103 |
| 56.3% 348 | Opponent eFG% | 51.1% 165 |
| 18.2 281 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.3 161 |
| 26.4% 313 | Offensive rebound % | 26.9% 300 |
| 28.4% 359 | 3-point % | 34.1% 166 |
| 71.7 45 | Pace | 68.9 186 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | 2024-25 | Kansas City 56 @ Creighton 79 | CREI |
| 2018-12-27 | 2018-19 | Kansas City 53 @ Creighton 89 | CREI |
| 2016-11-11 | 2016-17 | Kansas City 82 @ Creighton 89 | CREI |
| 2013-11-11 | 2013-14 | Kansas City 70 @ Creighton 96 | CREI |
Your pick
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What if?
Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (11 points in a typical College basketball game).
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Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 45,615 Division I games since 2017-18. Model version 1. How it works