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SDST

South Dakota State @ Kansas State

College basketball 2026-27 · Summit vs Big 12 · · Bramlage Coliseum

KSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
KSUKansas State Wildcats
54% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetKSU -1.3
Totaln/a157
Moneylinen/aSDST +119
KSU -119 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

KSU 80, SDST 78Typical score
SDST by 13 to KSU by 158 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Kansas State can win

  1. Home court: Kansas State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Kansas State 144th (17.1), South Dakota State 321st (14.5) of 365.
  3. Strength of schedule: Kansas State 56th (+1.0), South Dakota State 193rd (-0.1) of 365.
  4. Three-point shooting: Kansas State 43rd (36.4%), South Dakota State 173rd (34.0%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Kansas State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (88th of 365) meets the South Dakota State shooting defense (203rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Kansas State play fast (11th of 365 in pace), South Dakota State slow (219th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, P.J. Haggerty (Kansas State: 23.4 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 15.2) has the edge on Damon Wilkinson (South Dakota State: 13.9 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 11.2).
  7. Simulation: Kansas State win 2,720 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Kansas State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated South Dakota State about 2.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.0 points to South Dakota State in our ratings.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): South Dakota State 9th (74.9%), Kansas State 316th (66.1%) of 365.
  4. South Dakota State's offense (109.1 points per 100 possessions, 158th in Division I) meets a Kansas State defense that ranks 240th.
  5. Team matchup: where South Dakota State can push back. Their offensive rebounding (186th of 365) meets the Kansas State defensive rebounding (316th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (142nd of 365) meets the Kansas State shooting defense (239th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Kansas State on paper, but Damon Wilkinson (13.9 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 11.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: South Dakota State win 2,280 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

SDST South Dakota State

Every regular played last game.

KSU Kansas State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

SDSTKSU
0-0Record0-0
-0.2 182Net rating-3.1 226
109.1 158Offensive rating107.8 187
109.3 203Defensive rating110.9 240
-0.1 193Strength of schedule+1.0 56
52.0% 142Effective FG%53.3% 88
51.8% 203Opponent eFG%52.5% 239
16.1 148Turnovers per 10017.4 234
30.3% 186Offensive rebound %29.2% 229
34.0% 1733-point %36.4% 43
68.2 219Pace73.8 11

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2023-11-132023-24South Dakota State 68 @ Kansas State 91KSU

What if?

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46%South Dakota State
54%Kansas State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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