21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango
NAVY

Navy @ George Washington

College basketball 2026-27 · Patriot vs Atlantic 10 · · Charles E. Smith Center

GW
Our pick
GWGeorge Washington Revolutionaries
65% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

AZMango model

No market price for this matchup yet, so there is nothing to compare against.

Advantages Why George Washington can win

  1. Simulation: George Washington win 3,230 of 5,000 simulated games.
  2. Home court: George Washington play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  3. Strength of schedule: George Washington 72nd (+0.8), Navy 364th (-1.7) of 365.
  4. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): George Washington 26th (35.8%), Navy 126th (31.9%) of 365.
  5. Strength: George Washington rank 26th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (35.8%).

Disadvantages Why George Washington may not

  1. Navy's shooting (53.1% eFG%, 100th in Division I) meets a George Washington defense that ranks 234th.
  2. Upset odds: Navy win 1,770 of 5,000 simulations (35%). A 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.8 points to Navy in our ratings.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations George Washington lose by 10 or more.
  5. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Navy 190th (16.8), George Washington 282nd (18.2) of 365.

The line and our numbers

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetGW -4.1
Total pointsn/a148.2
Win chanceNAVY n/a · GW n/aNAVY 35% · GW 65%
Fair moneylineNAVY +183 · GW -183

No betting line for this game yet (many small-conference games get one only on game day). Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

5,000 simulated games, possession by possession

  • Typical score: George Washington 77, Navy 73.
  • 80% of simulations land between Navy by 10 and George Washington by 18.
See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Plain links. We are not paid for them and take no bets.

Still out?

College basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.

NAVY Navy

Every regular played last game.

GW George Washington

Every regular played last game.

Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.

Side by side

NAVYGW
0-0Record0-0
+12.8 34Net rating+8.1 66
112.3 97Offensive rating115.3 57
99.5 23Defensive rating107.1 138
-1.7 364Strength of schedule+0.8 72
53.1% 100Effective FG%54.4% 55
48.3% 42Opponent eFG%52.4% 234
16.8 190Turnovers per 10018.2 282
31.9% 126Offensive rebound %35.8% 26
35.8% 643-point %35.1% 106
65.9 315Pace70.2 106

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2023-12-052023-24Navy 77 @ George Washington 79GW
2020-11-252020-21George Washington 71 @ Navy 78NAVY
2010-12-052010-11Navy 64 @ George Washington 57 (neutral)NAVY
2009-12-062009-10Navy 69 @ George Washington 81 (neutral)GW

What if?

Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (11 points in a typical College basketball game).

35%Navy
65%George Washington

Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat

    Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 45,615 Division I games since 2017-18. Model version 1. How it works

    This matchup on any day (power ratings only)