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OSU

Ohio State vs #25 BYU

College basketball 2026-27 · Big Ten vs Big 12 · · Delta Center · Bad Boy Mowers Series

BYU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
BYUBYU Cougars
60% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBYU -3.2
Totaln/a153.1
Moneylinen/aOSU +153
BYU -153 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

BYU 78, OSU 75Typical score
OSU by 11 to BYU by 178 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why BYU can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated BYU about 2.1 points stronger over recent games.
  2. BYU's offense (118.3 points per 100 possessions, 33rd in Division I) meets a Ohio State defense that ranks 166th.
  3. AP poll: BYU are ranked No. 25; Ohio State are unranked.
  4. Strength: BYU rank 17th of 365 in strength of schedule (+1.7).
  5. Team matchup: where BYU can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (61st of 365) meets the Ohio State defensive rebounding (160th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (54th of 365) meets the Ohio State shooting defense (114th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: BYU play fast (90th of 365 in pace), Ohio State slow (274th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, AJ Dybantsa (BYU: 25.5 pts, 6.8 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 19.2) has the edge on Bruce Thornton (Ohio State: 19.9 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.9 ast, Game Score 17.5).
  7. Simulation: BYU win 3,020 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why BYU may not

  1. Ohio State's offense (118.1 points per 100 possessions, 36th in Division I) meets a BYU defense that ranks 129th.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 0.9 points to Ohio State in our ratings.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations BYU lose by 11 or more.
  4. Three-point shooting: Ohio State 72nd (35.7%), BYU 145th (34.5%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Ohio State can push back. Their shooting efficiency (19th of 365) meets the BYU shooting defense (174th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean BYU on paper, but Bruce Thornton (19.9 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.9 ast, Game Score 17.5) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Ohio State win 1,980 of 5,000 simulations (40%). A 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

OSU Ohio State

Every regular played last game.

BYU BYU

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

OSUBYU
0-0Record0-0
+10.0 48Net rating+11.5 39
118.1 36Offensive rating118.3 33
108.1 166Defensive rating106.8 129
+1.7 19Strength of schedule+1.7 17
56.2% 19Effective FG%54.4% 54
50.2% 114Opponent eFG%51.2% 174
15.3 91Turnovers per 10015.2 80
30.4% 185Offensive rebound %34.3% 61
35.7% 723-point %34.5% 145
67.2 274Pace70.6 90

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

40%Ohio State
60%BYU

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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