Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | HAW -7.1 |
| Total | n/a | 146.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | SEA +295 HAW -295 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Hawai'i can win
- Home court: Hawai'i play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Hawai'i about 1.5 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Hawai'i 46th (+10.3), Seattle U 130th (+2.7) of 365.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Hawai'i 11th (74.7%), Seattle U 249th (68.2%) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Hawai'i can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (154th of 365) meets the Seattle U defensive rebounding (249th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Hawai'i. The closest: best player against best player, Isaac Johnson (Hawai'i: 14.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 11.0) is about even with Brayden Maldonado (Seattle U: 14.7 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 10.9).
- Simulation: Hawai'i win 3,735 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Hawai'i may not
- Strength of schedule: Seattle U 190th (-0.1), Hawai'i 328th (-0.8) of 365.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Seattle U 183rd (16.8), Hawai'i 313th (18.8) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Hawai'i lose by 7 or more.
- Three-point shooting: Seattle U 185th (33.7%), Hawai'i 297th (31.7%) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Seattle U can push back. Their ball pressure (9th of 365) meets the Hawai'i ball security (313th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Hawai'i on paper, but Brayden Maldonado (14.7 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 10.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Seattle U win 1,265 of 5,000 simulations (25%). A 75% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
SEA Seattle U
Every regular played last game.
HAW Hawai'i
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| SEA | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +2.7 130 | Net rating | +10.3 46 |
| 101.5 310 | Offensive rating | 107.9 186 |
| 98.8 18 | Defensive rating | 97.5 10 |
| -0.1 190 | Strength of schedule | -0.8 328 |
| 49.8% 249 | Effective FG% | 52.0% 148 |
| 48.4% 46 | Opponent eFG% | 46.8% 19 |
| 16.8 183 | Turnovers per 100 | 18.8 313 |
| 23.7% 346 | Offensive rebound % | 31.3% 154 |
| 33.7% 185 | 3-point % | 31.7% 297 |
| 69.1 174 | Pace | 73.0 19 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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