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TOW

Towson @ Santa Clara

College basketball 2026-27 · CAA vs WCC · · Leavey Center

SCU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SCUSanta Clara Broncos
80% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSCU -9
Totaln/a146.2
Moneylinen/aTOW +397
SCU -397 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

SCU 79, TOW 70Typical score
TOW by 5 to SCU by 238 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Santa Clara can win

  1. Home court: Santa Clara play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Santa Clara about 2.5 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Santa Clara 28th (+13.5), Towson 164th (+1.0) of 365.
  4. Three-point shooting: Santa Clara 125th (34.9%), Towson 348th (29.4%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Santa Clara can take advantage. Their ball pressure (25th of 365) meets the Towson ball security (129th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (20th of 365) meets the Towson defensive rebounding (117th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Santa Clara play fast (134th of 365 in pace), Towson slow (359th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Santa Clara. The closest: best player against best player, Tyler Tejada (Towson: 17.7 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 12.6) is about even with Allen Graves (Santa Clara: 11.8 pts, 6.5 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 12.4).
  7. Simulation: Santa Clara win 3,995 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Santa Clara may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Santa Clara lose by 5 or more.
  2. Weak spot: Santa Clara rank 355th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.19).
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Towson 117th (70.9%), Santa Clara 262nd (67.9%) of 365.
  4. Weak spot: Santa Clara rank 262nd of 365 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (67.9%).
  5. Team matchup: where Towson can push back. Their offensive rebounding (24th of 365) meets the Santa Clara defensive rebounding (262nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Santa Clara on paper, but Tyler Tejada (17.7 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 12.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Towson win 1,005 of 5,000 simulations (20%). A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

TOW Towson

Every regular played last game.

SCU Santa Clara

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

TOWSCU
0-0Record0-0
+1.0 164Net rating+13.5 28
104.7 254Offensive rating118.9 24
103.7 71Defensive rating105.4 93
+0.3 119Strength of schedule+0.6 87
46.5% 344Effective FG%54.4% 53
48.5% 49Opponent eFG%52.0% 213
15.9 129Turnovers per 10015.4 99
36.0% 24Offensive rebound %36.4% 20
29.4% 3483-point %34.9% 125
64.0 359Pace69.7 134

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

20%Towson
80%Santa Clara

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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