- Chattanooga SoCon 0-0, 1st · 0-0 overall
- Louisville AP #11 · ACC 0-0, 8th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | LOU -15.3 |
| Total | n/a | 155.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UTC +1141 LOU -1141 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Louisville can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Louisville about 7.5 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Louisville 15th (+16.5), Chattanooga 262nd (-5.8) of 365.
- Louisville's offense (118.7 points per 100 possessions, 26th in Division I) meets a Chattanooga defense that ranks 332nd.
- Home court: Louisville play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Team matchup: where Louisville can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (14th of 365) meets the Chattanooga shooting defense (195th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (93rd of 365) meets the Chattanooga defensive rebounding (240th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Louisville. The closest: best player against best player, Jordan Frison (Chattanooga: 16.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 13.1) is about even with Mikel Brown Jr. (Louisville: 18.2 pts, 3.3 reb, 4.7 ast, Game Score 12.8).
- Simulation: Louisville win 4,595 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Louisville may not
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Chattanooga 38th (14.4), Louisville 186th (16.8) of 365.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: Chattanooga have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Louisville on paper, but Jordan Frison (16.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 13.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Chattanooga win 405 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
UTC Chattanooga
Every regular played last game.
LOU Louisville
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| UTC | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -5.8 262 | Net rating | +16.5 15 |
| 109.7 139 | Offensive rating | 118.7 26 |
| 115.5 332 | Defensive rating | 102.2 45 |
| -0.4 258 | Strength of schedule | +1.3 39 |
| 54.2% 60 | Effective FG% | 56.5% 14 |
| 51.7% 195 | Opponent eFG% | 48.7% 54 |
| 14.4 38 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.8 186 |
| 21.8% 357 | Offensive rebound % | 32.8% 93 |
| 35.0% 116 | 3-point % | 36.0% 58 |
| 67.6 248 | Pace | 71.0 77 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | 2023-24 | Chattanooga 81 @ Louisville 71 | UTC |
| 2010-11-22 | 2010-11 | Chattanooga 65 @ Louisville 106 | LOU |
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