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CAM

Campbell @ NC State

College basketball 2026-27 · CAA vs ACC · · Lenovo Center

NCSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
NCSUNC State Wolfpack
84% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetNCSU -11.1
Totaln/a157.1
Moneylinen/aCAM +535
NCSU -535 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

NCSU 84, CAM 73Typical score
CAM by 3 to NCSU by 258 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why NC State can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated NC State about 5.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): NC State 50th (+9.8), Campbell 237th (-3.9) of 365.
  3. NC State's offense (118.4 points per 100 possessions, 29th in Division I) meets a Campbell defense that ranks 280th.
  4. Home court: NC State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  5. Team matchup: where NC State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (35th of 365) meets the Campbell shooting defense (295th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (89th of 365) meets the Campbell ball security (241st): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors NC State. The closest: best player against best player, Ven-Allen Lubin (NC State: 13.6 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 13.0) is about even with DJ Smith (Campbell: 19.0 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.8).
  7. Simulation: NC State win 4,210 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why NC State may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations NC State lose by 3 or more.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Campbell 23rd (0.32), NC State 129th (0.27) of 365.
  3. Weak spot: NC State rank 258th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (28.2%).
  4. Weak spot: NC State rank 256th of 365 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (52.7%).
  5. Team matchup: where Campbell can push back. Their offensive rebounding (77th of 365) meets the NC State defensive rebounding (181st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean NC State on paper, but DJ Smith (19.0 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Campbell win 790 of 5,000 simulations (16%). A 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CAM Campbell

Every regular played last game.

NCSU NC State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CAMNCSU
0-0Record0-0
-3.9 237Net rating+9.8 50
108.6 168Offensive rating118.4 29
112.6 280Defensive rating108.6 185
+0.1 134Strength of schedule+1.2 41
50.1% 230Effective FG%55.0% 35
53.9% 295Opponent eFG%52.7% 256
17.6 241Turnovers per 10013.1 8
33.5% 77Offensive rebound %28.2% 258
32.3% 2663-point %38.8% 6
70.0 117Pace70.2 102

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2022-11-112022-23Campbell 67 @ NC State 73NCSU
2020-12-192020-21Campbell 50 @ NC State 69NCSU
2013-11-162013-14Campbell 66 @ NC State 81NCSU
2011-12-292011-12Campbell 81 @ NC State 87NCSU

What if?

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16%Campbell
84%NC State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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