21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango 🥭 Tip jar
Invite
UPST

South Carolina Upstate @ East Carolina

College basketball 2026-27 · Big South vs American · · Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum

ECU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ECUEast Carolina Pirates
63% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetECU -3.6
Totaln/a149.5
Moneylinen/aUPST +171
ECU -171 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

ECU 77, UPST 73Typical score
UPST by 10 to ECU by 178 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why East Carolina can win

  1. Home court: East Carolina play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): East Carolina 115th (0.27), South Carolina Upstate 278th (0.22) of 365.
  3. Strength: East Carolina rank 79th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (33.4%).
  4. Relative strength: East Carolina rank 115th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.27).
  5. Team matchup: where East Carolina can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (79th of 365) meets the South Carolina Upstate defensive rebounding (224th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (205th of 365) meets the South Carolina Upstate ball security (283rd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jordan Riley (East Carolina: 23.6 pts, 6.0 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 15.6) has the edge on Karmani Gregory (South Carolina Upstate: 15.6 pts, 2.2 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 9.6).
  7. Simulation: East Carolina win 3,155 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why East Carolina may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated South Carolina Upstate about 1.7 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations East Carolina lose by 10 or more.
  3. Weak spot: East Carolina rank 349th of 365 in three-point shooting (29.3%).
  4. Weak spot: East Carolina rank 345th of 365 in effective shooting (eFG%) (46.4%).
  5. Team matchup: South Carolina Upstate have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean East Carolina on paper, but Karmani Gregory (15.6 pts, 2.2 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 9.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: South Carolina Upstate win 1,845 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

UPST South Carolina Upstate

Every regular played last game.

ECU East Carolina

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UPSTECU
0-0Record0-0
-6.7 269Net rating-8.8 300
100.8 318Offensive rating102.1 303
107.4 146Defensive rating110.9 242
-0.3 226Strength of schedule+0.1 154
48.3% 306Effective FG%46.4% 345
51.0% 156Opponent eFG%52.3% 229
18.2 283Turnovers per 10017.1 212
29.2% 231Offensive rebound %33.4% 79
31.4% 3073-point %29.3% 349
70.5 97Pace70.0 115

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2023-11-152023-24South Carolina Upstate 83 @ East Carolina 81UPST
2015-12-042015-16South Carolina Upstate 71 @ East Carolina 82ECU
2010-11-212010-11South Carolina Upstate 67 @ East Carolina 75 (neutral)ECU

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

37%South Carolina Upstate
63%East Carolina

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat