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UAB

UAB vs McNeese

College basketball 2026-27 · American vs Southland · · Rock Hill Sports & Event Center · Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon

MCN
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 146.8

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
MCNMcNeese Cowboys
73% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetMCN -6.9
Totaln/a146.8
Moneylinen/aUAB +275
MCN -275 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

MCN 78, UAB 71Typical score
UAB by 8 to MCN by 218 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why McNeese can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated McNeese about 3.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.6 points to McNeese in our ratings.
  3. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: McNeese 1st (24.5), UAB 214th (16.1) of 365.
  4. Strength: McNeese rank 1st of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (24.5).
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors McNeese. The nearest thing to one: their offensive rebounding (46th of 365) meets the UAB defensive rebounding (53rd), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: UAB play fast (61st of 365 in pace), McNeese slow (275th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors McNeese. The closest: best player against best player, Chance Westry (UAB: 15.5 pts, 3.8 reb, 5.5 ast, Game Score 13.8) is about even with Larry Johnson (McNeese: 17.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 13.3).
  7. Simulation: McNeese win 3,665 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why McNeese may not

  1. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): UAB 53rd (72.3%), McNeese 337th (65.1%) of 365.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations McNeese lose by 8 or more.
  3. Weak spot: McNeese rank 337th of 365 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (65.1%).
  4. Weak spot: McNeese rank 289th of 365 in three-point shooting (31.7%).
  5. Team matchup: where UAB can push back. Their offensive rebounding (104th of 365) meets the McNeese defensive rebounding (337th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean McNeese on paper, but Chance Westry (15.5 pts, 3.8 reb, 5.5 ast, Game Score 13.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: UAB win 1,335 of 5,000 simulations (27%). A 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

UAB UAB

Every regular played last game.

MCN McNeese

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UABMCN
0-0Record0-0
+5.3 91Net rating+13.7 24
109.7 138Offensive rating114.1 71
104.4 75Defensive rating100.4 29
-0.2 204Strength of schedule+0.1 149
48.4% 304Effective FG%50.7% 202
50.0% 98Opponent eFG%49.3% 76
12.5 2Turnovers per 10014.2 28
32.5% 104Offensive rebound %35.1% 46
27.8% 3633-point %31.7% 289
71.2 61Pace67.1 275

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2023-11-282023-24McNeese 81 @ UAB 60MCN

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

27%UAB
73%McNeese

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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