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CSUN

Cal State Northridge @ Wichita State

NCAAB · · Charles Koch Arena

WICH

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
WICHWichita State Shockers
91% to win
ModelCSUN 9%WICH 91%
MarketCSUN 12%WICH 88%

Within 3 points of the market. Not a promise: a 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadWICH -14.5Same
Total161.5Same
MoneylineCSUN +700
WICH -1100
CSUN +996
WICH -996 fair

Line: , ESPN. Odds move; check a book before acting.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
WICH 88, CSUN 73
8 in 10 games
WICH by 1 to WICH by 28
WICH covers -14.5
48%
Over 161.5
48%
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Line movement

Logged : Wichita State by 14.5, total 161.5.

Advantages Why Wichita State can win

  1. Home court: Wichita State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Wichita State 52nd (+9.8), Cal State Northridge 192nd (-0.9) of 365.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Wichita State about 2.1 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Wichita State. The nearest thing to one: their offensive rebounding (9th of 365) meets the Cal State Northridge defensive rebounding (27th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  5. Star matchup: no key position favors Wichita State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Will Berg (8.8 pts, 8.1 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 9.2; filling in for Kenyon Giles, doubtful, not on the team's current roster) leading the way.
  6. Simulation: Wichita State win 4,545 of 5,000 simulated games.
  7. The betting market agrees: Wichita State 88% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.

Disadvantages Why Wichita State may not

  1. Weak spot: Wichita State rank 268th of 365 in effective shooting (eFG%) (49.4%).
  2. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  3. Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  4. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  5. Team matchup: a strength Wichita State may not get to use. Their offensive rebounding (9th of 365) meets the Cal State Northridge defensive rebounding (27th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Josiah Davis (Cal State Northridge: 15.9 pts, 4.6 reb, 7.4 ast, Game Score 11.4; filling in for Joshua O'Garro, doubtful, not on the team's current roster) has the edge on Will Berg (Wichita State: 8.8 pts, 8.1 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 9.2; filling in for Kenyon Giles, doubtful, not on the team's current roster).
  7. Upset odds: Cal State Northridge win 455 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

CSUN Cal State Northridge

  • DoubtfulGrady Lewisnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulJai Chisolmnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulJordan Brinsonnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulJoseph Barrionot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulJoshua O'Garronot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulMahmoud Fofananot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulRobert Thibiantnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026

WICH Wichita State

  • DoubtfulDre Kindellnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulEmmanuel Okorafornot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026
  • DoubtfulKenyon Gilesnot on the team's current roster · ESPN team rosters, Nov 3, 2026

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

CSUNWICH
0-0Record0-0
-0.9 192Net rating+9.8 52
106.6 211Offensive rating112.0 103
107.5 150Defensive rating102.2 48
-0.5 230Strength of schedule+0.9 100
51.3% 182Effective FG%49.4% 268
51.6% 194Opponent eFG%47.2% 25
17.5 238Turnovers per 10014.9 58
31.9% 129Offensive rebound %38.0% 9
32.4% 2593-point %33.5% 195
75.6 2Pace69.3 165

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Cal State Northridge9%
91%Wichita State

Based on market line + adjustments. How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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