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Lindenwood @ TCU

College basketball 2026-27 · Ohio Valley vs Big 12 · · Schollmaier Arena

TCU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TCUTCU Horned Frogs
72% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTCU -6.7
Totaln/a152.4
Moneylinen/aLIN +263
TCU -263 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

TCU 80, LIN 73Typical score
LIN by 7 to TCU by 218 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why TCU can win

  1. Home court: TCU play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): TCU 71st (+7.5), Lindenwood 196th (-0.9) of 365.
  3. Strength of schedule: TCU 51st (+1.1), Lindenwood 323rd (-0.8) of 365.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): TCU 87th (15.3), Lindenwood 307th (18.7) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where TCU can take advantage. Their ball pressure (32nd of 365) meets the Lindenwood ball security (307th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (67th of 365) meets the Lindenwood defensive rebounding (244th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors TCU, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with David Punch (14.1 pts, 6.8 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 12.3) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: TCU win 3,625 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why TCU may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations TCU lose by 7 or more.
  2. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  3. Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  4. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  5. Team matchup: Lindenwood have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jadis Jones (Lindenwood: 15.3 pts, 8.5 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 14.5) has the edge on David Punch (TCU: 14.1 pts, 6.8 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 12.3).
  7. Upset odds: Lindenwood win 1,375 of 5,000 simulations (28%). A 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

LIN Lindenwood

Every regular played last game.

TCU TCU

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

LINTCU
0-0Record0-0
-0.9 196Net rating+7.5 71
101.8 307Offensive rating110.2 129
102.8 54Defensive rating102.7 52
-0.8 323Strength of schedule+1.1 51
48.0% 312Effective FG%50.4% 221
49.1% 72Opponent eFG%51.2% 172
18.7 307Turnovers per 10015.3 87
33.2% 83Offensive rebound %34.0% 67
29.4% 3463-point %33.2% 219
73.0 18Pace70.2 107

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

28%Lindenwood
72%TCU

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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