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LEM

Le Moyne @ Nebraska

College basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs Big Ten · · Pinnacle Bank Arena

NEB
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
NEBNebraska Cornhuskers
92% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetNEB -14.9
Totaln/a146.2
Moneylinen/aLEM +1125
NEB -1125 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

NEB 82, LEM 67Typical score
NEB by 1 to NEB by 298 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Nebraska can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Nebraska about 7.0 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Nebraska 16th (+16.1), Le Moyne 217th (-2.3) of 365.
  3. Home court: Nebraska play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.4 points to Nebraska in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Nebraska can take advantage. Their ball pressure (54th of 365) meets the Le Moyne ball security (326th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Nebraska. The closest: best player against best player, Pryce Sandfort (Nebraska: 18.1 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 14.4) is about even with Shilo Jackson (Le Moyne: 15.8 pts, 8.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 13.7).
  7. Simulation: Nebraska win 4,590 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Nebraska may not

  1. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Le Moyne 83rd (0.28), Nebraska 344th (0.20) of 365.
  2. Weak spot: Nebraska rank 344th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.20).
  3. Weak spot: Nebraska rank 305th of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (26.7%).
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: a strength Nebraska may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (28th of 365) meets the Le Moyne shooting defense (75th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Nebraska on paper, but Shilo Jackson (15.8 pts, 8.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 13.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Le Moyne win 410 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

LEM Le Moyne

Every regular played last game.

NEB Nebraska

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

LEMNEB
0-0Record0-0
-2.3 217Net rating+16.1 16
104.5 263Offensive rating114.4 66
106.8 127Defensive rating98.3 14
-1.1 354Strength of schedule+1.4 32
52.7% 118Effective FG%55.5% 28
49.3% 75Opponent eFG%48.1% 40
19.1 326Turnovers per 10014.4 40
25.2% 336Offensive rebound %26.7% 305
34.3% 1523-point %35.5% 91
69.2 167Pace67.3 266

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

8%Le Moyne
92%Nebraska

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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