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LIU

Long Island University @ Florida Atlantic

College basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs American · · Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena

FAU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
FAUFlorida Atlantic Owls
64% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetFAU -3.7
Totaln/a149.1
Moneylinen/aLIU +174
FAU -174 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

FAU 77, LIU 73Typical score
LIU by 10 to FAU by 188 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Florida Atlantic can win

  1. Home court: Florida Atlantic play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Strength of schedule: Florida Atlantic 140th (+0.1), Long Island University 338th (-0.9) of 365.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Florida Atlantic 78th (71.7%), Long Island University 299th (67.0%) of 365.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Florida Atlantic 242nd (17.6), Long Island University 317th (18.9) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Florida Atlantic can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (140th of 365) meets the Long Island University defensive rebounding (299th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (250th of 365) meets the Long Island University ball security (317th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Florida Atlantic, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Devin Vanterpool (15.8 pts, 6.2 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 11.6) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Florida Atlantic win 3,175 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Florida Atlantic may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.1 points to Long Island University in our ratings.
  2. Three-point shooting: Long Island University 67th (35.8%), Florida Atlantic 207th (33.3%) of 365.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Florida Atlantic lose by 10 or more.
  4. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Long Island University about 0.8 points stronger over recent games.
  5. Team matchup: where Long Island University can push back. Their ball pressure (58th of 365) meets the Florida Atlantic ball security (242nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jamal Fuller (Long Island University: 16.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 13.1) has the edge on Devin Vanterpool (Florida Atlantic: 15.8 pts, 6.2 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 11.6).
  7. Upset odds: Long Island University win 1,825 of 5,000 simulations (36%). A 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

LIU Long Island University

Every regular played last game.

FAU Florida Atlantic

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

LIUFAU
0-0Record0-0
+2.8 128Net rating+2.6 134
107.6 195Offensive rating108.6 170
104.8 82Defensive rating106.0 105
-0.9 338Strength of schedule+0.1 140
52.8% 112Effective FG%52.2% 135
50.0% 102Opponent eFG%49.5% 81
18.9 317Turnovers per 10017.6 242
33.9% 70Offensive rebound %31.6% 140
35.8% 673-point %33.3% 207
68.5 205Pace71.1 71

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

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36%Long Island University
64%Florida Atlantic

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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