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Holy Cross @ Rhode Island

College basketball 2026-27 · Patriot vs Atlantic 10 · · Thomas M. Ryan Center

URI
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
URIRhode Island Rams
83% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 83% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetURI -10.4
Totaln/a141
Moneylinen/aHC +483
URI -483 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

URI 80, HC 70Typical score
HC by 4 to URI by 248 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Rhode Island can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Rhode Island about 4.4 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Rhode Island 135th (+2.5), Holy Cross 312th (-10.4) of 365.
  3. Home court: Rhode Island play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  4. Strength of schedule: Rhode Island 129th (+0.2), Holy Cross 324th (-0.8) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Rhode Island can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (231st of 365) meets the Holy Cross shooting defense (324th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (10th of 365) meets the Holy Cross ball security (85th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Tyler Cochran (Rhode Island: 15.4 pts, 6.2 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 11.9) has the edge on Tyler Boston (Holy Cross: 14.2 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 10.1).
  7. Simulation: Rhode Island win 4,145 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Rhode Island may not

  1. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Holy Cross 85th (15.3), Rhode Island 328th (19.2) of 365.
  2. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Holy Cross 37th (73.0%), Rhode Island 246th (68.2%) of 365.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Rhode Island lose by 4 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Rhode Island rank 328th of 365 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (19.2).
  5. Team matchup: Holy Cross have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Rhode Island on paper, but Tyler Boston (14.2 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 10.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Holy Cross win 855 of 5,000 simulations (17%). A 83% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

HC Holy Cross

Every regular played last game.

URI Rhode Island

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

HCURI
0-0Record0-0
-10.4 312Net rating+2.5 135
103.2 283Offensive rating105.0 249
113.6 303Defensive rating102.5 50
-0.8 324Strength of schedule+0.2 129
49.8% 248Effective FG%50.1% 231
54.8% 324Opponent eFG%50.4% 125
15.3 85Turnovers per 10019.2 328
21.9% 355Offensive rebound %31.0% 163
32.5% 2513-point %31.1% 318
65.8 319Pace66.5 292

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2024-11-082024-25Holy Cross 77 @ Rhode Island 91URI
2018-12-082018-19Rhode Island 79 @ Holy Cross 63URI
2017-11-192017-18Holy Cross 66 @ Rhode Island 88URI
2016-12-182016-17Holy Cross 54 @ Rhode Island 65URI
2015-12-022015-16Holy Cross 56 @ Rhode Island 74URI

What if?

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17%Holy Cross
83%Rhode Island

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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