Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego State
College basketball 2026-27 · Big West vs Sun Belt · · Viejas Arena
- Cal State Fullerton Big West 0-0, 4th · 0-0 overall
- San Diego State Pac-12 0-0, 7th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | SDSU -13 |
| Total | n/a | 155.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CSUF +749 SDSU -749 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why San Diego State can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated San Diego State about 6.4 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): San Diego State 69th (+7.8), Cal State Fullerton 219th (-2.5) of 365.
- Home court: San Diego State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Strength of schedule: San Diego State 33rd (+1.3), Cal State Fullerton 235th (-0.3) of 365.
- Team matchup: where San Diego State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (116th of 365) meets the Cal State Fullerton shooting defense (307th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (19th of 365) meets the Cal State Fullerton ball security (78th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position favors San Diego State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Miles Byrd (10.4 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 9.1) leading the way.
- Simulation: San Diego State win 4,410 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why San Diego State may not
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Cal State Fullerton 78th (15.2), San Diego State 222nd (17.2) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations San Diego State lose by 2 or more.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Cal State Fullerton 80th (71.7%), San Diego State 208th (68.9%) of 365.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Cal State Fullerton can push back. Their ball pressure (35th of 365) meets the San Diego State ball security (222nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Joshua Ward (Cal State Fullerton: 14.5 pts, 4.5 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 11.5) has the edge on Miles Byrd (San Diego State: 10.4 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 9.1); at forward, Landon Seaman (Cal State Fullerton: 12.0 pts, 3.3 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.0) has the edge on Magoon Gwath (San Diego State: 8.9 pts, 4.3 reb, 0.3 ast, Game Score 6.9).
- Upset odds: Cal State Fullerton win 590 of 5,000 simulations (12%). A 88% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
CSUF Cal State Fullerton
Every regular played last game.
SDSU San Diego State
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| CSUF | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -2.5 219 | Net rating | +7.8 69 |
| 106.4 217 | Offensive rating | 108.8 164 |
| 108.9 193 | Defensive rating | 101.0 34 |
| -0.3 235 | Strength of schedule | +1.3 33 |
| 51.4% 180 | Effective FG% | 52.7% 116 |
| 54.3% 307 | Opponent eFG% | 48.2% 41 |
| 15.2 78 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.2 222 |
| 24.6% 344 | Offensive rebound % | 29.5% 222 |
| 34.2% 160 | 3-point % | 34.5% 144 |
| 75.5 3 | Pace | 70.6 89 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-06 | 2023-24 | Cal State Fullerton 57 @ San Diego State 83 | SDSU |
| 2022-11-07 | 2022-23 | Cal State Fullerton 57 @ San Diego State 80 | SDSU |
| 2021-12-08 | 2021-22 | Cal State Fullerton 56 @ San Diego State 66 | SDSU |
| 2009-12-09 | 2009-10 | Cal State Fullerton 68 @ San Diego State 82 | SDSU |
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