Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MRST -10.7 |
| Total | n/a | 145.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | DART +516 MRST -516 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Marist can win
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Marist 75th (+7.4), Dartmouth 281st (-7.6) of 365.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Marist about 3.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Home court: Marist play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Point differential per game: Marist 74th (+5.0), Dartmouth 284th (-5.3) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Marist can take advantage. Their ball pressure (34th of 365) meets the Dartmouth ball security (247th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Marist. The closest: best player against best player, Brandon Mitchell-Day (Dartmouth: 12.1 pts, 9.0 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.0) is about even with Justin Menard (Marist: 12.9 pts, 2.9 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 9.6).
- Simulation: Marist win 4,190 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Marist may not
- Three-point shooting: Dartmouth 51st (36.1%), Marist 271st (32.2%) of 365.
- Strength of schedule: Dartmouth 122nd (+0.2), Marist 308th (-0.7) of 365.
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Dartmouth 85th (0.28), Marist 337th (0.20) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Marist lose by 4 or more.
- Team matchup: Dartmouth have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Marist on paper, but Brandon Mitchell-Day (12.1 pts, 9.0 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Dartmouth win 810 of 5,000 simulations (16%). A 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
DART Dartmouth
Every regular played last game.
MRST Marist
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| DART | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -7.6 281 | Net rating | +7.4 75 |
| 105.0 248 | Offensive rating | 103.2 284 |
| 112.7 282 | Defensive rating | 95.8 3 |
| +0.2 122 | Strength of schedule | -0.7 308 |
| 51.8% 156 | Effective FG% | 49.3% 276 |
| 52.7% 254 | Opponent eFG% | 45.6% 5 |
| 17.6 247 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.9 193 |
| 23.7% 345 | Offensive rebound % | 29.1% 233 |
| 36.1% 51 | 3-point % | 32.2% 271 |
| 69.6 142 | Pace | 66.8 285 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-26 | Marist 75 @ Dartmouth 56 | MRST |
| 2024-11-19 | 2024-25 | Dartmouth 62 @ Marist 75 | MRST |
| 2023-12-09 | 2023-24 | Marist 63 @ Dartmouth 53 | MRST |
| 2018-11-29 | 2018-19 | Dartmouth 58 @ Marist 76 (neutral) | MRST |
| 2016-11-26 | 2016-17 | Marist 75 @ Dartmouth 69 | MRST |
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