Liberty vs High Point
College basketball 2026-27 · Conference USA vs Big South · · Rock Hill Sports & Event Center · Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon
- Liberty CUSA 0-0, 5th · 0-0 overall
- High Point Big South 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
Game day
Over/under 154.5 · ours too
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | HPU -7.5 | Same |
| Total | 154.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | LIB +260 HPU -325 | LIB +307 HPU -307 fair |
Line: , ESPN. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why High Point can win
- High Point's offense (120.5 points per 100 possessions, 11th in Division I) meets a Liberty defense that ranks 240th.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated High Point about 2.1 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to High Point in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where High Point can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (51st of 365) meets the Liberty shooting defense (251st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (131st of 365) meets the Liberty defensive rebounding (301st): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: High Point play fast (47th of 365 in pace), Liberty slow (342nd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Cam'Ron Fletcher (High Point: 13.2 pts, 7.1 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 11.8; filling in for Terry Anderson, doubtful, not on the team's current roster) has the edge on Zander Carter (Liberty: 3.3 pts, 1.7 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 2.9; filling in for Zach Cleveland, doubtful, not on the team's current roster).
- Simulation: High Point win 3,775 of 5,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: High Point 73% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why High Point may not
- Strength of schedule: Liberty 168th (+0.0), High Point 317th (-0.7) of 365.
- Three-point shooting: Liberty 8th (38.6%), High Point 160th (34.2%) of 365.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations High Point lose by 6 or more.
- History: Liberty won 4 of the last 5 meetings (college rosters turn over, so this says little).
- Team matchup: where Liberty can push back. Their shooting efficiency (4th of 365) meets the High Point shooting defense (126th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean High Point on paper, but Zander Carter (3.3 pts, 1.7 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 2.9; filling in for Zach Cleveland, doubtful, not on the team's current roster) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Liberty win 1,225 of 5,000 simulations (24%). A 76% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
LIB Liberty
Every regular played last game.
HPU High Point
Every regular played last game.
Also out or questionable
Liberty
- Doubtful Brett Decker Jr.: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Colin Porter: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful JJ Harper: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Josh Smith: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Kaden Metheny: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Zach Cleveland: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
High Point
- Doubtful Chase Johnston: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Owen Aquino: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Rob Martin: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Scotty Washington: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
- Doubtful Terry Anderson: not on the team's current roster (ESPN team rosters, 2026-11-01)
From ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by side
| LIB | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +5.6 88 | Net rating | +19.0 10 |
| 116.5 42 | Offensive rating | 120.5 11 |
| 110.9 240 | Defensive rating | 101.5 38 |
| +0.0 168 | Strength of schedule | -0.7 317 |
| 59.1% 4 | Effective FG% | 54.5% 51 |
| 52.7% 251 | Opponent eFG% | 50.5% 126 |
| 13.4 12 | Turnovers per 100 | 12.8 5 |
| 19.3% 364 | Offensive rebound % | 31.8% 131 |
| 38.6% 8 | 3-point % | 34.2% 160 |
| 65.1 342 | Pace | 71.7 47 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-24 | 2017-18 | High Point 45 @ Liberty 65 | LIB |
| 2018-01-18 | 2017-18 | Liberty 60 @ High Point 71 | HPU |
| 2017-02-14 | 2016-17 | High Point 52 @ Liberty 55 | LIB |
| 2017-01-11 | 2016-17 | Liberty 62 @ High Point 58 | LIB |
| 2016-02-06 | 2015-16 | Liberty 80 @ High Point 76 | LIB |
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