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MONM

Monmouth @ #13 St. John's

College basketball 2026-27 · CAA vs Big East · · Carnesecca Arena

SJU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SJUSt. John's Red Storm
91% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSJU -14.4
Totaln/a147.5
Moneylinen/aMONM +971
SJU -971 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

SJU 82, MONM 67Typical score
SJU by 1 to SJU by 298 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why St. John's can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated St. John's about 6.7 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Home court: St. John's play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): St. John's 18th (+15.9), Monmouth 150th (+1.5) of 365.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.3 points to St. John's in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where St. John's can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (43rd of 365) meets the Monmouth defensive rebounding (287th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (44th of 365) meets the Monmouth ball security (173rd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Zuby Ejiofor (St. John's: 16.3 pts, 7.3 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 16.2) has the edge on Jason Rivera-Torres (Monmouth: 15.8 pts, 8.1 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 14.1).
  7. Simulation: St. John's win 4,535 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why St. John's may not

  1. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  2. Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  3. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  4. Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
  5. Team matchup: Monmouth have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean St. John's on paper, but Jason Rivera-Torres (15.8 pts, 8.1 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 14.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Monmouth win 465 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

MONM Monmouth

Every regular played last game.

SJU St. John's

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

MONMSJU
0-0Record0-0
+1.5 150Net rating+15.9 18
106.0 229Offensive rating114.3 68
104.5 76Defensive rating98.4 15
-0.3 227Strength of schedule+1.4 31
49.6% 259Effective FG%51.1% 192
50.1% 103Opponent eFG%47.5% 32
16.6 173Turnovers per 10014.4 39
31.2% 157Offensive rebound %35.2% 43
34.2% 1563-point %33.5% 195
67.9 233Pace70.8 82

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2021-12-092021-22Monmouth 83 @ St. John's 88SJU
2013-11-222013-14Monmouth 54 @ St. John's 64SJU

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

9%Monmouth
91%St. John's

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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