Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UVM -0.5 |
| Total | n/a | 143.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UVM -107 IONA +107 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Vermont can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Vermont about 4.8 points stronger over recent games.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Vermont 35th (14.3), Iona 221st (17.2) of 365.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.2 points to Vermont in our ratings.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Vermont 2nd (77.0%), Iona 212th (68.8%) of 365.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Vermont. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (95th of 365) meets the Iona shooting defense (64th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Iona play fast (128th of 365 in pace), Vermont slow (341st); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Vermont. The closest: at guard, CJ Anthony (Iona: 14.3 pts, 3.1 reb, 5.4 ast, Game Score 11.1) is about even with TJ Hurley (Vermont: 15.0 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 10.8).
- Simulation: Vermont win 2,590 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Vermont may not
- Home court: Iona play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Vermont lose by 14 or more.
- History: Iona won 4 of the last 5 meetings (college rosters turn over, so this says little).
- Weak spot: Vermont rank 347th of 365 in strength of schedule (-1.0).
- Team matchup: a strength Vermont may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (95th of 365) meets the Iona shooting defense (64th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Vermont on paper, but Lamin Sabally (11.4 pts, 8.2 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 12.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Iona win 2,410 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
UVM Vermont
Every regular played last game.
IONA Iona
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| UVM | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +5.2 93 | Net rating | +1.0 162 |
| 110.7 122 | Offensive rating | 105.8 231 |
| 105.5 95 | Defensive rating | 104.8 85 |
| -1.0 347 | Strength of schedule | -0.5 278 |
| 53.1% 95 | Effective FG% | 51.9% 149 |
| 50.4% 121 | Opponent eFG% | 48.9% 64 |
| 14.3 35 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.2 221 |
| 26.2% 317 | Offensive rebound % | 27.8% 274 |
| 33.3% 207 | 3-point % | 35.1% 105 |
| 65.2 341 | Pace | 69.8 128 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-26 | Iona 83 @ Vermont 78 | IONA |
| 2024-11-15 | 2024-25 | Vermont 59 @ Iona 62 | IONA |
| 2022-11-18 | 2022-23 | Vermont 50 @ Iona 71 (neutral) | IONA |
| 2011-12-17 | 2011-12 | Iona 73 @ Vermont 72 | IONA |
| 2010-12-22 | 2010-11 | Vermont 84 @ Iona 79 | UVM |
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