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Lipscomb @ Southeast Missouri State

College basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs Ohio Valley · · Show Me Center

SEMO
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SEMOSoutheast Missouri State Redhawks
65% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSEMO -4.3
Totaln/a150.6
Moneylinen/aLIP +186
SEMO -186 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

SEMO 77.5, LIP 73Typical score
LIP by 10 to SEMO by 188 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Southeast Missouri State can win

  1. Home court: Southeast Missouri State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Southeast Missouri State 126th (0.27), Lipscomb 346th (0.20) of 365.
  3. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Southeast Missouri State 218th (29.6%), Lipscomb 326th (25.8%) of 365.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Southeast Missouri State 76th (71.8%), Lipscomb 171st (69.8%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Southeast Missouri State. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (90th of 365) meets the Lipscomb ball security (142nd), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Southeast Missouri State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Luke Almodovar (14.1 pts, 3.7 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 9.0) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Southeast Missouri State win 3,250 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Southeast Missouri State may not

  1. Three-point shooting: Lipscomb 75th (35.7%), Southeast Missouri State 323rd (30.9%) of 365.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Lipscomb about 1.4 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Southeast Missouri State lose by 10 or more.
  4. Strength of schedule: Lipscomb 178th (-0.1), Southeast Missouri State 279th (-0.5) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Lipscomb can push back. Their ball pressure (111th of 365) meets the Southeast Missouri State ball security (192nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Grant Asman (Lipscomb: 14.2 pts, 5.8 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 11.5) has the edge on Brendan Terry (Southeast Missouri State: 11.3 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 8.7); best player against best player, Mateo Esmeraldo (Lipscomb: 9.9 pts, 3.8 reb, 7.0 ast, Game Score 11.6) has the edge on Luke Almodovar (Southeast Missouri State: 14.1 pts, 3.7 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 9.0).
  7. Upset odds: Lipscomb win 1,750 of 5,000 simulations (35%). A 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

LIP Lipscomb

Every regular played last game.

SEMO Southeast Missouri State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

LIPSEMO
0-0Record0-0
+0.8 167Net rating+1.4 156
109.6 140Offensive rating104.3 264
108.8 189Defensive rating103.0 57
-0.1 178Strength of schedule-0.5 279
54.1% 67Effective FG%49.8% 244
53.2% 273Opponent eFG%48.8% 57
16.0 142Turnovers per 10016.9 192
25.8% 326Offensive rebound %29.6% 218
35.7% 753-point %30.9% 323
70.8 83Pace70.2 108

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-292025-26Lipscomb 88 @ Southeast Missouri State 77LIP
2024-12-052024-25Southeast Missouri State 60 @ Lipscomb 78LIP
2020-12-092020-21Southeast Missouri State 74 @ Lipscomb 80LIP
2020-12-072020-21Lipscomb 77 @ Southeast Missouri State 82SEMO

What if?

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35%Lipscomb
65%Southeast Missouri State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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