Southern Indiana @ Belmont
College basketball 2026-27 · Ohio Valley vs Missouri Valley · · Curb Event Center Arena
- Southern Indiana OVC 0-0, 4th · 0-0 overall
- Belmont MVC 0-0, 1st · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | BEL -14.8 |
| Total | n/a | 151 |
| Moneyline | n/a | USI +987 BEL -987 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Belmont can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Belmont about 6.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Belmont 29th (+13.3), Southern Indiana 314th (-10.5) of 365.
- Home court: Belmont play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.7 points to Belmont in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Belmont can take advantage. Their ball pressure (127th of 365) meets the Southern Indiana ball security (216th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (1st of 365) meets the Southern Indiana shooting defense (80th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: At forward, Sam Orme (Belmont: 12.7 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 10.6) has the edge on Tolu Samuels (Southern Indiana: 7.1 pts, 8.6 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 7.4); best player against best player, Tyler Lundblade (Belmont: 15.6 pts, 2.7 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 10.8) has the edge on Ismail Habib (Southern Indiana: 14.7 pts, 3.6 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 8.2).
- Simulation: Belmont win 4,540 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Belmont may not
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Southern Indiana 145th (31.4%), Belmont 241st (28.8%) of 365.
- Weak spot: Belmont rank 282nd of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.22).
- Weak spot: Belmont rank 274th of 365 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (18.1).
- Weak spot: Belmont rank 271st of 365 in strength of schedule (-0.5).
- Team matchup: where Southern Indiana can push back. Their ball pressure (189th of 365) meets the Belmont ball security (274th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Belmont on paper, but Ismail Habib (14.7 pts, 3.6 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 8.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Southern Indiana win 460 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
USI Southern Indiana
Every regular played last game.
BEL Belmont
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| USI | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -10.5 314 | Net rating | +13.3 29 |
| 97.1 343 | Offensive rating | 118.4 30 |
| 107.6 149 | Defensive rating | 105.1 90 |
| -0.9 339 | Strength of schedule | -0.5 271 |
| 43.7% 362 | Effective FG% | 61.0% 1 |
| 49.4% 80 | Opponent eFG% | 49.9% 93 |
| 17.2 216 | Turnovers per 100 | 18.1 274 |
| 31.4% 145 | Offensive rebound % | 28.8% 241 |
| 29.9% 344 | 3-point % | 41.0% 1 |
| 69.1 176 | Pace | 70.5 94 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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