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SELA

SE Louisiana @ Auburn

NCAAB · · Neville Arena

AUB

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
AUBAuburn Tigers
95% to win
ModelSELA 5%AUB 95%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: even a pick this strong still loses about 5 times in 100.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetAUB -17.8
Totaln/a148.5
Moneylinen/aSELA +1941
AUB -1941 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
AUB 83, SELA 66
8 in 10 games
AUB by 4 to AUB by 31
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Auburn can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Auburn about 9.9 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Auburn 85th (+6.1), SE Louisiana 306th (-9.8) of 365.
  3. Home court: Auburn play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.4 points to Auburn in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Auburn can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (14th of 365) meets the SE Louisiana defensive rebounding (224th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (101st of 365) meets the SE Louisiana shooting defense (241st): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Auburn play fast (134th of 365 in pace), SE Louisiana slow (319th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Kevin Overton (Auburn: 14.1 pts, 3.3 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 10.2) has the edge on Jalen Forrest (SE Louisiana: 7.9 pts, 2.6 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 5.0); best player against best player, KeShawn Murphy (Auburn: 10.7 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 10.8) has the edge on Isaiah Gaines (SE Louisiana: 10.6 pts, 6.2 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 9.0).
  7. Simulation: Auburn win 4,755 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Auburn may not

  1. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: SE Louisiana 47th (19.1), Auburn 201st (16.3) of 365.
  2. Weak spot: Auburn rank 291st of 365 in points allowed per game (78.8).
  3. Weak spot: Auburn rank 288th of 365 in defense, points allowed per 100 possessions (113.0).
  4. Weak spot: Auburn rank 288th of 365 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (53.7%).
  5. Team matchup: SE Louisiana have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Auburn on paper, but Isaiah Gaines (10.6 pts, 6.2 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 9.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: SE Louisiana win 245 of 5,000 simulations (5%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 5 times in 100.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

SELA SE Louisiana

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

AUB Auburn

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

SELAAUB
0-0Record0-0
-9.8 306Net rating+6.1 85
98.4 336Offensive rating119.1 21
108.2 174Defensive rating113.0 288
-0.7 264Strength of schedule+2.7 10
46.7% 340Effective FG%53.0% 101
52.4% 241Opponent eFG%53.7% 288
18.4 288Turnovers per 10014.6 41
28.6% 245Offensive rebound %37.0% 14
28.4% 3613-point %34.4% 142
65.9 319Pace69.7 134

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • SE Louisiana 71 @ Auburn 86Nov 10, 2023

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

SE Louisiana5%
95%Auburn

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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