- Alabama State SWAC 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
- Texas A&M SEC 0-0, 15th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TA&M -13 |
| Total | n/a | 157.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ALST +747 TA&M -747 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Texas A&M can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Texas A&M about 6.1 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas A&M 55th (+9.7), Alabama State 293rd (-8.5) of 365.
- Home court: Texas A&M play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Strength of schedule: Texas A&M 62nd (+0.9), Alabama State 361st (-1.2) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Texas A&M can take advantage. Their ball pressure (81st of 365) meets the Alabama State ball security (287th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (72nd of 365) meets the Alabama State shooting defense (222nd): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Rashaun Agee (Texas A&M: 14.6 pts, 8.7 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 13.6) has the edge on Micah Simpson (Alabama State: 13.9 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 8.3).
- Simulation: Texas A&M win 4,410 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas A&M may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Texas A&M lose by 2 or more.
- Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 301st of 365 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (67.0%).
- Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 295th of 365 in points allowed per game (78.9).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Alabama State can push back. Their offensive rebounding (128th of 365) meets the Texas A&M defensive rebounding (301st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas A&M on paper, but Micah Simpson (13.9 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 8.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Alabama State win 590 of 5,000 simulations (12%). A 88% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
ALST Alabama State
Every regular played last game.
TA&M Texas A&M
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| ALST | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -8.5 293 | Net rating | +9.7 55 |
| 100.4 325 | Offensive rating | 117.1 39 |
| 108.9 192 | Defensive rating | 107.3 144 |
| -1.2 361 | Strength of schedule | +0.9 62 |
| 47.1% 334 | Effective FG% | 53.8% 72 |
| 52.2% 222 | Opponent eFG% | 50.7% 141 |
| 18.3 287 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.7 52 |
| 31.9% 128 | Offensive rebound % | 32.0% 122 |
| 31.8% 287 | 3-point % | 35.9% 63 |
| 71.3 59 | Pace | 73.5 15 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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