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STMN

St. Thomas @ Presbyterian

College basketball 2026-27 · Summit vs Big South · · Templeton Center

PRES
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
STMNSt. Thomas Tommies
64% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSTMN -4.1
Totaln/a148.4
Moneylinen/aSTMN -181
PRES +181 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

PRES 73, STMN 77Typical score
STMN by 18 to PRES by 108 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why St. Thomas can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated St. Thomas about 7.1 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): St. Thomas 41st (+11.2), Presbyterian 245th (-4.6) of 365.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.7 points to St. Thomas in our ratings.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): St. Thomas 36th (14.3), Presbyterian 331st (19.3) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where St. Thomas can take advantage. Their ball pressure (148th of 365) meets the Presbyterian ball security (331st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (5th of 365) meets the Presbyterian shooting defense (170th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Nolan Minessale (St. Thomas: 19.8 pts, 4.6 reb, 4.3 ast, Game Score 15.9) has the edge on Jonah Pierce (Presbyterian: 16.0 pts, 9.6 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 12.4).
  7. Simulation: St. Thomas win 3,220 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why St. Thomas may not

  1. Home court: Presbyterian play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Presbyterian 86th (33.1%), St. Thomas 352nd (22.6%) of 365.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations St. Thomas lose by 10 or more.
  4. Weak spot: St. Thomas rank 352nd of 365 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (22.6%).
  5. Team matchup: Presbyterian have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean St. Thomas on paper, but Jonah Pierce (16.0 pts, 9.6 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 12.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Presbyterian win 1,780 of 5,000 simulations (36%). A 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

STMN St. Thomas

Every regular played last game.

PRES Presbyterian

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

STMNPRES
0-0Record0-0
+11.2 41Net rating-4.6 245
116.1 45Offensive rating104.6 257
104.9 86Defensive rating109.2 200
-0.9 333Strength of schedule-0.4 263
58.9% 5Effective FG%51.0% 196
50.7% 139Opponent eFG%51.2% 170
14.3 36Turnovers per 10019.3 331
22.6% 352Offensive rebound %33.1% 86
36.0% 573-point %31.6% 300
69.7 136Pace66.9 282

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

64%St. Thomas
36%Presbyterian

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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