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JKST

Jackson State @ #19 Texas Tech

College basketball 2026-27 · SWAC vs Big 12 · · United Supermarkets Arena

TTU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TTUTexas Tech Red Raiders
96% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: even a pick this strong still loses about 4 times in 100.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTTU -19.1
Totaln/a152
Moneylinen/aJKST +2226
TTU -2226 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

TTU 85, JKST 66Typical score
TTU by 5 to TTU by 338 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Texas Tech can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Texas Tech about 10.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas Tech 44th (+10.5), Jackson State 353rd (-18.9) of 365.
  3. Texas Tech's offense (117.8 points per 100 possessions, 38th in Division I) meets a Jackson State defense that ranks 342nd.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.2 points to Texas Tech in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Texas Tech can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (82nd of 365) meets the Jackson State defensive rebounding (358th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (21st of 365) meets the Jackson State shooting defense (267th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, JT Toppin (Texas Tech: 21.8 pts, 10.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 18.3) has the edge on Daeshun Ruffin (Jackson State: 23.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 15.7).
  7. Simulation: Texas Tech win 4,785 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Texas Tech may not

  1. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Jackson State 82nd (0.28), Texas Tech 342nd (0.20) of 365.
  2. Weak spot: Texas Tech rank 342nd of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.20).
  3. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Jackson State 184th (16.5), Texas Tech 303rd (14.8) of 365.
  4. Weak spot: Texas Tech rank 303rd of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (14.8).
  5. Team matchup: Jackson State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas Tech on paper, but Daeshun Ruffin (23.3 pts, 2.8 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 15.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Jackson State win 215 of 5,000 simulations (4%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 4 times in 100.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

JKST Jackson State

Every regular played last game.

TTU Texas Tech

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

JKSTTTU
0-0Record0-0
-18.9 353Net rating+10.5 44
98.1 340Offensive rating117.8 38
117.0 342Defensive rating107.2 142
-0.2 205Strength of schedule+2.4 3
45.7% 353Effective FG%56.1% 21
53.0% 267Opponent eFG%49.7% 86
19.4 335Turnovers per 10015.8 123
29.7% 215Offensive rebound %33.2% 82
31.4% 3103-point %39.1% 4
71.6 50Pace68.1 221

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2022-12-172022-23Jackson State 52 @ Texas Tech 102 (neutral)TTU
2012-11-262012-13Jackson State 75 @ Texas Tech 84TTU

What if?

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4%Jackson State
96%Texas Tech

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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