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RAD

Radford @ San Francisco

College basketball 2026-27 · Big South vs WCC · · The Sobrato Center

SF
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SFSan Francisco Dons
66% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 66% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSF -4.2
Totaln/a154.6
Moneylinen/aRAD +190
SF -190 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

SF 80, RAD 75Typical score
RAD by 10 to SF by 188 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why San Francisco can win

  1. Home court: San Francisco play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Strength of schedule: San Francisco 173rd (-0.1), Radford 341st (-0.9) of 365.
  3. San Francisco's offense (110.0 points per 100 possessions, 134th in Division I) meets a Radford defense that ranks 217th.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): San Francisco 105th (71.0%), Radford 267th (67.8%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where San Francisco can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (148th of 365) meets the Radford defensive rebounding (267th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (184th of 365) meets the Radford shooting defense (271st): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Radford play fast (13th of 365 in pace), San Francisco slow (270th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, David Fuchs (San Francisco: 12.7 pts, 7.8 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 10.2) has the edge on Tyson Brown (Radford: 6.5 pts, 7.3 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.4).
  7. Simulation: San Francisco win 3,280 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why San Francisco may not

  1. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Radford 73rd (18.5), San Francisco 329th (14.1) of 365.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations San Francisco lose by 10 or more.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 0.7 points to Radford in our ratings.
  4. Weak spot: San Francisco rank 329th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (14.1).
  5. Team matchup: Radford have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Dennis Parker Jr. (Radford: 18.2 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 13.0) has the edge on Ryan Beasley (San Francisco: 13.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 10.6).
  7. Upset odds: Radford win 1,720 of 5,000 simulations (34%). A 66% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

RAD Radford

Every regular played last game.

SF San Francisco

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

RADSF
0-0Record0-0
-1.3 202Net rating+0.2 172
108.6 171Offensive rating110.0 134
109.8 217Defensive rating109.7 213
-0.9 341Strength of schedule-0.1 173
51.3% 181Effective FG%51.2% 184
53.0% 271Opponent eFG%50.8% 143
17.1 208Turnovers per 10015.8 125
29.8% 207Offensive rebound %31.3% 148
33.5% 1983-point %34.6% 140
73.6 13Pace67.2 270

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2017-12-192017-18Radford 41 @ San Francisco 52SF

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

34%Radford
66%San Francisco

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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