Bellarmine @ #24 Vanderbilt
College basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs SEC · · Memorial Gymnasium (TN)
- Bellarmine Atlantic Sun 0-0, 1st · 0-0 overall
- Vanderbilt AP #24 · SEC 0-0, 16th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | VAN -18.1 |
| Total | n/a | 155.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | BELL +1924 VAN -1924 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Vanderbilt can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Vanderbilt about 9.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Vanderbilt's offense (120.9 points per 100 possessions, 9th in Division I) meets a Bellarmine defense that ranks 364th.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Vanderbilt 20th (+15.2), Bellarmine 266th (-6.5) of 365.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.7 points to Vanderbilt in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Vanderbilt can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (31st of 365) meets the Bellarmine shooting defense (364th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (158th of 365) meets the Bellarmine defensive rebounding (319th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Vanderbilt play fast (80th of 365 in pace), Bellarmine slow (287th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Vanderbilt. The closest: best player against best player, Tyler Tanner (Vanderbilt: 19.5 pts, 3.6 reb, 5.1 ast, Game Score 17.3) is about even with Jack Karasinski (Bellarmine: 21.7 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 16.4).
- Simulation: Vanderbilt win 4,755 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Vanderbilt may not
- Bellarmine's offense (118.3 points per 100 possessions, 32nd in Division I) meets a Vanderbilt defense that ranks 101st.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: where Bellarmine can push back. Their shooting efficiency (3rd of 365) meets the Vanderbilt shooting defense (67th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Vanderbilt on paper, but Jack Karasinski (21.7 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 16.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Bellarmine win 245 of 5,000 simulations (5%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 5 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
BELL Bellarmine
Every regular played last game.
VAN Vanderbilt
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| BELL | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -6.5 266 | Net rating | +15.2 20 |
| 118.3 32 | Offensive rating | 120.9 9 |
| 124.9 364 | Defensive rating | 105.7 101 |
| -0.7 313 | Strength of schedule | +1.9 15 |
| 59.4% 3 | Effective FG% | 55.3% 31 |
| 59.4% 364 | Opponent eFG% | 49.0% 67 |
| 15.5 104 | Turnovers per 100 | 13.5 15 |
| 22.4% 353 | Offensive rebound % | 31.2% 158 |
| 38.1% 17 | 3-point % | 35.6% 86 |
| 66.7 287 | Pace | 70.9 80 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat