- Cleveland State Horizon 0-0, 2nd · 0-0 overall
- Missouri SEC 0-0, 9th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MIZ -16.2 |
| Total | n/a | 157.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CLE +1424 MIZ -1424 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Missouri can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Missouri about 8.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Missouri 89th (+5.5), Cleveland State 337th (-14.1) of 365.
- Missouri's offense (115.1 points per 100 possessions, 59th in Division I) meets a Cleveland State defense that ranks 363rd.
- Home court: Missouri play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Team matchup: where Missouri can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (36th of 365) meets the Cleveland State shooting defense (360th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (48th of 365) meets the Cleveland State defensive rebounding (355th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Mark Mitchell Jr. (Missouri: 18.3 pts, 5.2 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 15.0) has the edge on Dayan Nessah (Cleveland State: 15.5 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 12.4).
- Simulation: Missouri win 4,670 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Missouri may not
- Cleveland State's offense (110.1 points per 100 possessions, 133rd in Division I) meets a Missouri defense that ranks 211th.
- Three-point shooting: Cleveland State 21st (37.5%), Missouri 112th (35.0%) of 365.
- Weak spot: Missouri rank 261st of 365 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (17.8).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Cleveland State can push back. Their shooting efficiency (62nd of 365) meets the Missouri shooting defense (183rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Missouri on paper, but Dayan Nessah (15.5 pts, 6.4 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 12.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Cleveland State win 330 of 5,000 simulations (7%). A 93% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
CLE Cleveland State
Every regular played last game.
MIZ Missouri
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| CLE | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -14.1 337 | Net rating | +5.5 89 |
| 110.1 133 | Offensive rating | 115.1 59 |
| 124.1 363 | Defensive rating | 109.7 211 |
| -0.1 195 | Strength of schedule | +1.1 46 |
| 54.2% 62 | Effective FG% | 55.0% 36 |
| 57.2% 360 | Opponent eFG% | 51.5% 183 |
| 17.8 262 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.8 261 |
| 27.0% 293 | Offensive rebound % | 34.9% 48 |
| 37.5% 21 | 3-point % | 35.0% 112 |
| 71.4 56 | Pace | 68.8 190 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | 2025-26 | Cleveland State 59 @ Missouri 86 | MIZ |
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