- Niagara Metro 0-0, 8th · 0-0 overall
- West Virginia Big 12 0-0, 16th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | WVU -13 |
| Total | n/a | 133.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | NIA +752 WVU -752 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why West Virginia can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated West Virginia about 5.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): West Virginia 73rd (+7.5), Niagara 334th (-13.3) of 365.
- Home court: West Virginia play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Point differential per game: West Virginia 76th (+4.9), Niagara 330th (-8.4) of 365.
- Team matchup: where West Virginia can take advantage. Their ball pressure (107th of 365) meets the Niagara ball security (318th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (178th of 365) meets the Niagara defensive rebounding (297th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: At forward, Brenen Lorient (West Virginia: 11.9 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.6) has the edge on Justin Hawkins (Niagara: 8.3 pts, 3.3 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 5.8); best player against best player, Honor Huff (West Virginia: 16.5 pts, 2.3 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 10.1) has the edge on Justin Page (Niagara: 12.1 pts, 2.1 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 7.6).
- Simulation: West Virginia win 4,415 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why West Virginia may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations West Virginia lose by 1 or more.
- Weak spot: West Virginia rank 271st of 365 in points per game (70.6).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Niagara have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean West Virginia on paper, but Justin Page (12.1 pts, 2.1 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 7.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Niagara win 585 of 5,000 simulations (12%). A 88% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
NIA Niagara
Every regular played last game.
WVU West Virginia
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| NIA | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -13.3 334 | Net rating | +7.5 73 |
| 99.9 328 | Offensive rating | 108.2 179 |
| 113.2 294 | Defensive rating | 100.7 31 |
| +0.1 155 | Strength of schedule | +0.6 86 |
| 50.5% 214 | Effective FG% | 51.6% 166 |
| 52.8% 260 | Opponent eFG% | 48.5% 50 |
| 18.9 318 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.8 188 |
| 24.8% 343 | Offensive rebound % | 30.5% 178 |
| 33.7% 187 | 3-point % | 33.1% 226 |
| 63.4 363 | Pace | 65.3 335 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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