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NOLA

LSU New Orleans @ LSU

College basketball 2026-27 · Southland vs SEC · · Pete Maravich Assembly Center

LSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
LSULSU Tigers
78% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetLSU -8.1
Totaln/a156
Moneylinen/aNOLA +345
LSU -345 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

LSU 82, NOLA 74Typical score
NOLA by 6 to LSU by 228 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why LSU can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated LSU about 3.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Home court: LSU play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): LSU 106th (+4.2), LSU New Orleans 241st (-4.5) of 365.
  4. LSU's offense (115.5 points per 100 possessions, 53rd in Division I) meets a LSU New Orleans defense that ranks 231st.
  5. Team matchup: where LSU can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (87th of 365) meets the LSU New Orleans defensive rebounding (324th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Dedan Thomas Jr. (LSU: 15.2 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.5 ast, Game Score 13.5) has the edge on Coleton Benson (LSU New Orleans: 16.2 pts, 3.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 9.9).
  7. Simulation: LSU win 3,875 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why LSU may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 0.9 points to LSU New Orleans in our ratings.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations LSU lose by 6 or more.
  3. Weak spot: LSU rank 337th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (13.9).
  4. Weak spot: LSU rank 279th of 365 in points allowed per game (78.5).
  5. Team matchup: where LSU New Orleans can push back. Their offensive rebounding (34th of 365) meets the LSU defensive rebounding (239th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean LSU on paper, but Coleton Benson (16.2 pts, 3.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 9.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: LSU New Orleans win 1,125 of 5,000 simulations (22%). A 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

NOLA LSU New Orleans

Every regular played last game.

LSU LSU

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

NOLALSU
0-0Record0-0
-4.5 241Net rating+4.2 106
106.2 223Offensive rating115.5 53
110.7 231Defensive rating111.3 258
-0.4 255Strength of schedule+0.9 69
49.6% 258Effective FG%52.8% 111
49.0% 71Opponent eFG%50.9% 150
20.5 352Turnovers per 10015.6 107
35.6% 34Offensive rebound %33.1% 87
31.8% 2863-point %33.1% 224
70.2 109Pace70.5 95

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-102025-26New Orleans 58 @ LSU 93LSU
2024-12-222024-25New Orleans 70 @ LSU 86LSU
2022-11-172022-23New Orleans 62 @ LSU 91LSU
2019-12-032019-20New Orleans 54 @ LSU 90LSU
2013-11-192013-14New Orleans 54 @ LSU 81LSU

What if?

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22%LSU New Orleans
78%LSU

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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