Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | YALE -7.7 |
| Total | n/a | 149.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | HOW +305 YALE -305 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Yale can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Yale about 3.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Home court: Yale play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Yale 22nd (14.0), Howard 330th (19.3) of 365.
- Strength of schedule: Yale 92nd (+0.5), Howard 343rd (-0.9) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Yale can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (62nd of 365) meets the Howard defensive rebounding (223rd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (203rd of 365) meets the Howard ball security (330th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Yale. The closest: best player against best player, Nick Townsend (Yale: 16.3 pts, 7.4 reb, 4.3 ast, Game Score 14.7) is about even with Bryce Harris (Howard: 17.3 pts, 6.9 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 14.4).
- Simulation: Yale win 3,765 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Yale may not
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.0 points to Howard in our ratings.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Yale lose by 7 or more.
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Howard 16th (0.32), Yale 149th (0.26) of 365.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Howard can push back. Their offensive rebounding (28th of 365) meets the Yale defensive rebounding (147th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Yale on paper, but Bryce Harris (17.3 pts, 6.9 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 14.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Howard win 1,235 of 5,000 simulations (25%). A 75% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
HOW Howard
Every regular played last game.
YALE Yale
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| HOW | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +8.9 60 | Net rating | +12.5 35 |
| 108.6 167 | Offensive rating | 120.7 10 |
| 99.8 25 | Defensive rating | 108.2 169 |
| -0.9 343 | Strength of schedule | +0.5 92 |
| 50.9% 198 | Effective FG% | 55.6% 26 |
| 48.7% 53 | Opponent eFG% | 51.7% 192 |
| 19.3 330 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.0 22 |
| 35.8% 28 | Offensive rebound % | 34.2% 62 |
| 35.8% 68 | 3-point % | 39.4% 3 |
| 69.5 143 | Pace | 66.4 300 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | 2025-26 | Yale 87 @ Howard 81 | YALE |
| 2025-01-01 | 2024-25 | Howard 65 @ Yale 93 | YALE |
| 2024-01-03 | 2023-24 | Yale 86 @ Howard 78 | YALE |
| 2022-11-30 | 2022-23 | Howard 40 @ Yale 86 | YALE |
| 2020-01-20 | 2019-20 | Yale 89 @ Howard 75 | YALE |
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