- Utah Tech Big Sky 0-0, 10th · 0-0 overall
- New Mexico Mountain West 0-0, 5th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UNM -14.1 |
| Total | n/a | 155 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UTU +904 UNM -904 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why New Mexico can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated New Mexico about 6.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): New Mexico 32nd (+13.0), Utah Tech 229th (-3.2) of 365.
- Home court: New Mexico play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.5 points to New Mexico in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where New Mexico can take advantage. Their ball pressure (51st of 365) meets the Utah Tech ball security (244th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (176th of 365) meets the Utah Tech defensive rebounding (325th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: At guard, Jake Hall (New Mexico: 16.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 11.8) has the edge on Chance Trujillo (Utah Tech: 12.3 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.7 ast, Game Score 8.7).
- Simulation: New Mexico win 4,500 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why New Mexico may not
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
- Team matchup: Utah Tech have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Ethan Potter (Utah Tech: 16.8 pts, 7.8 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 15.2) has the edge on Tomislav Buljan (New Mexico: 13.1 pts, 10.3 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 12.4).
- Upset odds: Utah Tech win 500 of 5,000 simulations (10%). A 90% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
UTU Utah Tech
Every regular played last game.
UNM New Mexico
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| UTU | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -3.2 229 | Net rating | +13.0 32 |
| 106.9 207 | Offensive rating | 114.3 69 |
| 110.2 224 | Defensive rating | 101.3 36 |
| -0.1 175 | Strength of schedule | +0.4 100 |
| 53.3% 90 | Effective FG% | 53.5% 82 |
| 50.9% 151 | Opponent eFG% | 49.5% 84 |
| 17.6 244 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.9 58 |
| 28.1% 261 | Offensive rebound % | 30.6% 176 |
| 35.0% 113 | 3-point % | 35.6% 83 |
| 69.9 123 | Pace | 70.7 87 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-13 | 2020-21 | New Mexico 72 @ Utah Tech 63 | UNM |
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