Game day
No over/under yet · our total 161.7
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MICH -22.6 |
| Total | n/a | 161.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | OAK +5276 MICH -5276 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Michigan can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Michigan about 11.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.3 points to Michigan in our ratings.
- Michigan's offense (121.9 points per 100 possessions, 6th in Division I) meets a Oakland defense that ranks 339th.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Michigan 3rd (+24.9), Oakland 207th (-1.7) of 365.
- Team matchup: where Michigan can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (8th of 365) meets the Oakland shooting defense (322nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (55th of 365) meets the Oakland defensive rebounding (323rd): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Michigan. The closest: best player against best player, Yaxel Lendeborg (Michigan: 15.1 pts, 6.8 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 15.3) is about even with Brody Robinson (Oakland: 17.6 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.7 ast, Game Score 15.0).
- Simulation: Michigan win 4,905 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Michigan may not
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Oakland 49th (14.7), Michigan 159th (16.3) of 365.
- Weak spot: Michigan rank 271st of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (15.1).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Oakland have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Michigan on paper, but Brody Robinson (17.6 pts, 2.7 reb, 6.7 ast, Game Score 15.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Oakland win 95 of 5,000 simulations (2%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 2 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
OAK Oakland
Every regular played last game.
MICH Michigan
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| OAK | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -1.7 207 | Net rating | +24.9 3 |
| 114.7 63 | Offensive rating | 121.9 6 |
| 116.4 339 | Defensive rating | 97.0 7 |
| +0.7 83 | Strength of schedule | +2.6 1 |
| 52.7% 114 | Effective FG% | 58.3% 8 |
| 54.7% 322 | Opponent eFG% | 44.6% 1 |
| 14.7 49 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.3 159 |
| 31.3% 152 | Offensive rebound % | 34.7% 55 |
| 34.7% 131 | 3-point % | 36.8% 33 |
| 71.1 67 | Pace | 71.7 48 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | 2025-26 | Oakland 78 @ Michigan 121 | MICH |
| 2020-11-29 | 2020-21 | Oakland 71 @ Michigan 81 | MICH |
| 2011-12-10 | 2011-12 | Michigan 90 @ Oakland 80 | MICH |
| 2010-12-18 | 2010-11 | Oakland 51 @ Michigan 69 | MICH |
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