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Davidson @ Washington State

College basketball 2026-27 · Atlantic 10 vs Sun Belt · · Beasley Coliseum

WSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
WSUWashington State Cougars
58% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWSU -2.5
Totaln/a144.6
Moneylinen/aDAV +138
WSU -138 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

WSU 77, DAV 74Typical score
DAV by 12 to WSU by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Washington State can win

  1. Home court: Washington State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Strength: Washington State rank 40th of 365 in three-point shooting (36.5%).
  3. Strength: Washington State rank 48th of 365 in effective shooting (eFG%) (54.7%).
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Washington State 71st (71.8%), Davidson 157th (70.0%) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Washington State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (48th of 365) meets the Davidson shooting defense (132nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Washington State. The closest: best player against best player, Ace Glass (Washington State: 16.4 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.2) is about even with Josh Scovens (Davidson: 11.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.4).
  7. Simulation: Washington State win 2,900 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Washington State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Davidson about 1.9 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Davidson 142nd (+2.1), Washington State 218th (-2.3) of 365.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Davidson 121st (15.8), Washington State 292nd (18.4) of 365.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.2 points to Davidson in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Davidson can push back. Their ball pressure (120th of 365) meets the Washington State ball security (292nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (121st of 365) meets the Washington State shooting defense (248th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Washington State on paper, but Josh Scovens (11.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Davidson win 2,100 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

DAV Davidson

Every regular played last game.

WSU Washington State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

DAVWSU
0-0Record0-0
+2.1 142Net rating-2.3 218
107.6 194Offensive rating109.7 137
105.5 96Defensive rating112.1 272
+0.1 145Strength of schedule+0.3 115
52.6% 121Effective FG%54.7% 48
50.6% 132Opponent eFG%52.6% 248
15.8 121Turnovers per 10018.4 292
28.1% 265Offensive rebound %29.5% 221
35.4% 923-point %36.5% 40
65.0 346Pace68.9 182

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-072025-26Washington State 69 @ Davidson 85DAV

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

42%Davidson
58%Washington State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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