21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
PFW

Purdue Fort Wayne @ Duquesne

College basketball 2026-27 · Horizon vs Atlantic 10 · · UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse

DUQ
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
DUQDuquesne Dukes
71% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetDUQ -6.3
Totaln/a150.2
Moneylinen/aPFW +240
DUQ -240 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

DUQ 78, PFW 72Typical score
PFW by 8 to DUQ by 208 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Duquesne can win

  1. Home court: Duquesne play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Duquesne's offense (109.2 points per 100 possessions, 150th in Division I) meets a Purdue Fort Wayne defense that ranks 308th.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Duquesne 153rd (+1.5), Purdue Fort Wayne 267th (-6.6) of 365.
  4. Point differential per game: Duquesne 151st (+1.0), Purdue Fort Wayne 267th (-4.6) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Duquesne can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (131st of 365) meets the Purdue Fort Wayne shooting defense (345th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (184th of 365) meets the Purdue Fort Wayne defensive rebounding (326th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, David Dixon (Duquesne: 8.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.2) has the edge on Darius Duffy (Purdue Fort Wayne: 5.0 pts, 4.4 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 6.0).
  7. Simulation: Duquesne win 3,530 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Duquesne may not

  1. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Purdue Fort Wayne 44th (14.5), Duquesne 245th (17.6) of 365.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Duquesne lose by 8 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Duquesne rank 245th of 365 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (17.6).
  4. Weak spot: Duquesne rank 241st of 365 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (52.5%).
  5. Team matchup: where Purdue Fort Wayne can push back. Their ball pressure (45th of 365) meets the Duquesne ball security (245th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (125th of 365) meets the Duquesne shooting defense (241st): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Corey Hadnot II (Purdue Fort Wayne: 20.4 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 15.7) has the edge on Tarence Guinyard (Duquesne: 16.6 pts, 3.3 reb, 4.7 ast, Game Score 12.5).
  7. Upset odds: Purdue Fort Wayne win 1,470 of 5,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

PFW Purdue Fort Wayne

Every regular played last game.

DUQ Duquesne

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

PFWDUQ
0-0Record0-0
-6.6 267Net rating+1.5 153
107.5 196Offensive rating109.2 150
114.1 308Defensive rating107.7 155
-0.2 222Strength of schedule+0.4 103
52.6% 125Effective FG%52.3% 131
56.1% 345Opponent eFG%52.5% 241
14.5 44Turnovers per 10017.6 245
22.9% 350Offensive rebound %30.4% 184
34.2% 1613-point %33.1% 222
69.0 178Pace70.4 99

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

29%Purdue Fort Wayne
71%Duquesne

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat