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CLT

Charlotte @ Indiana State

College basketball 2026-27 · American vs Missouri Valley · · Hulman Center

INST
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
INSTIndiana State Sycamores
62% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 62% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetINST -3
Totaln/a146.5
Moneylinen/aCLT +166
INST -166 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

INST 77, CLT 74Typical score
CLT by 11 to INST by 178 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Indiana State can win

  1. Home court: Indiana State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Relative strength: Indiana State rank 110th of 365 in effective shooting (eFG%) (52.8%).
  3. Relative strength: Indiana State rank 110th of 365 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (50.2%).
  4. Relative strength: Indiana State rank 152nd of 365 in strength of schedule (+0.1).
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Indiana State. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (110th of 365) meets the Charlotte shooting defense (152nd), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Indiana State play fast (130th of 365 in pace), Charlotte slow (330th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Ian Scott (Indiana State: 13.5 pts, 6.5 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 12.7) has the edge on Anton Bonke (Charlotte: 10.6 pts, 8.3 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 10.0).
  7. Simulation: Indiana State win 3,120 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Indiana State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Charlotte about 1.9 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Three-point shooting: Charlotte 101st (35.2%), Indiana State 304th (31.5%) of 365.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Indiana State lose by 11 or more.
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Charlotte 152nd (0.26), Indiana State 359th (0.19) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Charlotte can push back. Their offensive rebounding (71st of 365) meets the Indiana State defensive rebounding (245th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Dezayne Mingo (Charlotte: 12.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 4.6 ast, Game Score 9.9) has the edge on Camp Wagner (Indiana State: 11.9 pts, 4.4 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.2).
  7. Upset odds: Charlotte win 1,880 of 5,000 simulations (38%). A 62% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CLT Charlotte

Every regular played last game.

INST Indiana State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CLTINST
0-0Record0-0
-1.9 210Net rating-4.9 251
111.4 111Offensive rating102.8 292
113.4 300Defensive rating107.7 153
+0.2 125Strength of schedule+0.1 152
53.4% 86Effective FG%52.8% 110
50.9% 152Opponent eFG%50.2% 110
18.1 275Turnovers per 10019.5 337
33.9% 71Offensive rebound %26.2% 316
35.2% 1013-point %31.5% 304
65.5 330Pace69.7 130

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-032025-26Indiana State 76 @ Charlotte 92CLT

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

38%Charlotte
62%Indiana State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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