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Weber State @ Oregon State

College basketball 2026-27 · Big Sky vs Sun Belt · · Gill Coliseum

ORST
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ORSTOregon State Beavers
58% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetORST -1.9
Totaln/a150.4
Moneylinen/aWEB +138
ORST -138 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

ORST 77, WEB 74Typical score
WEB by 12 to ORST by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Oregon State can win

  1. Home court: Oregon State play at home, worth about 3 points in college basketball, more than in the NBA.
  2. Strength of schedule: Oregon State 118th (+0.3), Weber State 291st (-0.5) of 365.
  3. Strength: Oregon State rank 8th of 365 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.33).
  4. Relative strength: Oregon State rank 115th of 365 in three-point shooting (35.0%).
  5. Team matchup: where Oregon State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (216th of 365) meets the Weber State shooting defense (316th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Weber State play fast (85th of 365 in pace), Oregon State slow (271st); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Oregon State. The closest: at forward, Nigel Burris (Weber State: 10.3 pts, 4.9 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 7.8) is about even with Isaiah Sy (Oregon State: 10.0 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 6.8).
  7. Simulation: Oregon State win 2,895 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Oregon State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Weber State about 2.8 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Weber State's offense (111.5 points per 100 possessions, 110th in Division I) meets a Oregon State defense that ranks 226th.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Weber State 56th (72.3%), Oregon State 265th (67.9%) of 365.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Weber State 117th (15.7), Oregon State 253rd (17.7) of 365.
  5. Team matchup: where Weber State can push back. Their offensive rebounding (132nd of 365) meets the Oregon State defensive rebounding (265th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Tijan Saine Jr. (Weber State: 17.5 pts, 2.2 reb, 4.3 ast, Game Score 13.7) has the edge on Josiah Lake II (Oregon State: 13.1 pts, 4.1 reb, 4.2 ast, Game Score 11.3).
  7. Upset odds: Weber State win 2,105 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

WEB Weber State

Every regular played last game.

ORST Oregon State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

WEBORST
0-0Record0-0
-0.3 185Net rating-4.5 242
111.5 110Offensive rating105.8 234
111.8 268Defensive rating110.3 226
-0.5 291Strength of schedule+0.3 118
51.7% 163Effective FG%50.5% 216
54.5% 316Opponent eFG%50.3% 119
15.7 117Turnovers per 10017.7 253
31.8% 132Offensive rebound %26.8% 302
34.5% 1433-point %35.0% 115
70.7 85Pace67.2 271

Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2024-11-082024-25Weber State 48 @ Oregon State 76ORST

What if?

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42%Weber State
58%Oregon State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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