Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ #12 Arkansas
College basketball 2026-27 · SWAC vs SEC · · Bud Walton Arena
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC 0-0, 5th · 0-0 overall
- Arkansas AP #12 · SEC 0-0, 2nd · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ARK -19 |
| Total | n/a | 165.3 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UAPB +2236 ARK -2236 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks usually post college basketball lines the day before; a few small-conference games get one only on game day or not at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN and The Odds API several times a day and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Arkansas can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Arkansas about 10.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Arkansas 37th (+12.4), Arkansas-Pine Bluff 318th (-11.0) of 365.
- Arkansas's offense (122.2 points per 100 possessions, 3rd in Division I) meets a Arkansas-Pine Bluff defense that ranks 316th.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.8 points to Arkansas in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Arkansas can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (16th of 365) meets the Arkansas-Pine Bluff shooting defense (249th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (121st of 365) meets the Arkansas-Pine Bluff defensive rebounding (320th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Darius Acuff Jr. (Arkansas: 23.5 pts, 3.1 reb, 6.4 ast, Game Score 18.5) has the edge on Quion Williams (Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 17.7 pts, 8.2 reb, 5.4 ast, Game Score 15.4); at forward, Trevon Brazile (Arkansas: 13.0 pts, 7.3 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 12.9) has the edge on Jaquan Scott (Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 16.0 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 11.2).
- Simulation: Arkansas win 4,785 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Arkansas may not
- Weak spot: Arkansas rank 333rd of 365 in points allowed per game (81.0).
- Weak spot: Arkansas rank 245th of 365 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (15.6).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Arkansas-Pine Bluff have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Arkansas on paper, but Quion Williams (17.7 pts, 8.2 reb, 5.4 ast, Game Score 15.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Arkansas-Pine Bluff win 215 of 5,000 simulations (4%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 4 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
UAPB Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Every regular played last game.
ARK Arkansas
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| UAPB | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -11.0 318 | Net rating | +12.4 37 |
| 103.5 280 | Offensive rating | 122.2 3 |
| 114.5 316 | Defensive rating | 109.8 216 |
| -0.8 328 | Strength of schedule | +2.3 6 |
| 50.0% 233 | Effective FG% | 56.4% 16 |
| 52.6% 249 | Opponent eFG% | 51.8% 200 |
| 18.7 308 | Turnovers per 100 | 12.2 1 |
| 27.9% 271 | Offensive rebound % | 32.0% 121 |
| 33.6% 189 | 3-point % | 38.2% 15 |
| 71.5 53 | Pace | 73.8 12 |
Small numbers are ranks among 365 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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