- Texas A&M SEC 1-4, 14th · 4-4 overall · L1
- South Carolina AP #23 · SEC 3-3, 9th · 5-3 overall · W3
Game day
KickoffThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SC -7 | Same |
| Total | 51.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | TA&M +210 SC -258 | TA&M +215 SC -215 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Line movement
Logged : South Carolina by 7, total 51.5.
Your pick
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Our number.
Advantages Why South Carolina can win
- Home field: South Carolina play at home, worth about 3 points in college football.
- Recent form: average margin over the last three games, South Carolina +13.0, Texas A&M +3.0.
- Efficiency (yards per play): worth about 1.9 points to South Carolina in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where South Carolina can take advantage. Their pass rush (41st of 138) meets the Texas A&M pass protection (91st), so look for them to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws. And their running game (7th of 138) meets the Texas A&M run defense (35th): a chance to lean on the run and control the clock.
- Star matchup: At quarterback, Lanorris Sellers (South Carolina: 8.8 yards per attempt, 15 TD, 7 INT) has the edge on Marcel Reed (Texas A&M: 7.6, 8 TD, 8 INT); in the backfield, Matthew Fuller (South Carolina: 66 rushing yards a game, 5.7 a carry) has the edge on KJ Edwards (Texas A&M: 45, 6.5), facing the Texas A&M run defense (35th of 138).
- Simulation: South Carolina win 6,830 of 10,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: South Carolina 70% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why South Carolina may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations, South Carolina lose by 13 or more.
- Weak spot: South Carolina rank 116th of 138 in interception margin per game (-0.5).
- Field goal percentage: Texas A&M rank 1st (100.0%), South Carolina 57th (78.6%) of 138 FBS teams.
- Single-game variance: a couple of turnovers or a special-teams score can swing a college game by two touchdowns.
- Team matchup: a strength South Carolina may not get to use. Their big-play offense (46th of 138) meets the Texas A&M defense against big plays (50th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to take shots downfield for chunk plays.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean South Carolina on paper, but quarterback Marcel Reed (1,396 yards, 8 TD) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Texas A&M win 3,170 of 10,000 simulations (32%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Side by side
| TA&M | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 5-3 |
| 28.2 70 | Points per game | 36.9 18 |
| 18.9 27 | Points allowed | 25.2 74 |
| 5.8 95 | Yards per play | 6.9 23 |
| 5.3 31 | Yards per play allowed | 5.4 41 |
| -0.2 96 | Interception margin/game | -0.5 116 |
| 3.0% 132 | Sacks per dropback | 7.3% 41 |
| 1728 30 | Elo rating | 1748 26 |
Small numbers are ranks among 138 FBS teams (1 = best). Elo is CollegeFootballData's rating, updated after every game.
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 Wk 12 | South Carolina 30 @ Texas A&M 31 | TA&M |
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 Wk 10 | Texas A&M 20 @ South Carolina 44 | SC |
| 2023-10-28 | 2023 Wk 9 | South Carolina 17 @ Texas A&M 30 | TA&M |
| 2022-10-22 | 2022 Wk 8 | Texas A&M 24 @ South Carolina 30 | SC |
| 2021-10-23 | 2021 Wk 8 | South Carolina 14 @ Texas A&M 44 | TA&M |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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