Game day
KickoffThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 | Same |
| Total | 50.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | CLEM -115 SYR -105 | CLEM -119 SYR +119 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Line movement
Logged : Clemson by 1.5, total 50.5.
Your pick
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What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why Clemson can win
- Elo rating: worth about 8.4 points to Clemson in our ratings.
- Recent form: average margin over the last three games, Clemson +15.0, Syracuse -1.3.
- Elo rating: Clemson rank 56th (1565), Syracuse 100th (1344) of 138 FBS teams.
- Team matchup: where Clemson can take advantage. Their pass rush (14th of 138) meets the Syracuse pass protection (69th), so look for them to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws.
- Star matchup: Off the edge, Will Heldt (Clemson: 6 sacks) has the edge on Chris D'Appolonia (Syracuse: 3), facing the Syracuse pass protection (69th of 138).
- The betting market agrees: Clemson 51% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: Clemson win 5,420 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Clemson may not
- Home field: Syracuse play at home, worth about 3 points in college football.
- Efficiency (yards per play): worth about 1.9 points to Syracuse in our ratings.
- Plays of 20+ yards per game: Syracuse rank 16th (5.6), Clemson 90th (3.9) of 138 FBS teams.
- Offense, yards per play: Syracuse rank 79th (6.0), Clemson 134th (4.9) of 138 FBS teams.
- Team matchup: where Syracuse can push back. Their pass rush (56th of 138) meets the Clemson pass protection (106th), so look for them to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws. And their passing game (52nd of 138) meets the Clemson pass defense (79th): a chance to throw early and often.
- Star matchup: At receiver, Umari Hatcher (Syracuse: 119 receiving yards a game, 4 TD) has the edge on Bryant Wesco Jr. (Clemson: 53, 0 TD), facing the Clemson pass defense (79th of 138); at quarterback, Steven Angeli (Syracuse: 8.1 yards per attempt, 4 TD, 4 INT) has the edge on Tait Reynolds (Clemson: 6.4, 3 TD, 3 INT).
- Upset odds: Syracuse win 4,580 of 10,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
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Side by side
| CLEM | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 23.2 100 | Points per game | 31.4 52 |
| 21.6 49 | Points allowed | 26.4 90 |
| 4.9 134 | Yards per play | 6.0 79 |
| 6.0 83 | Yards per play allowed | 5.8 69 |
| +0.0 73 | Interception margin/game | -0.5 116 |
| 8.9% 14 | Sacks per dropback | 6.6% 56 |
| 1565 56 | Elo rating | 1344 100 |
Small numbers are ranks among 138 FBS teams (1 = best). Elo is CollegeFootballData's rating, updated after every game.
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 Wk 4 | Syracuse 34 @ Clemson 21 | SYR |
| 2023-09-30 | 2023 Wk 5 | Clemson 31 @ Syracuse 14 | CLEM |
| 2022-10-22 | 2022 Wk 8 | Syracuse 21 @ Clemson 27 | CLEM |
| 2021-10-15 | 2021 Wk 7 | Clemson 17 @ Syracuse 14 | CLEM |
| 2020-10-24 | 2020 Wk 8 | Syracuse 21 @ Clemson 47 | CLEM |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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