- Old Dominion Sun Belt - East 1-5, 7th · 2-7 overall · L3
- Coastal Carolina Sun Belt - East 2-2, 4th · 3-5 overall · W1
Game day
KickoffThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | CCU -7 | Same |
| Total | 45.5 | 45.8 |
| Moneyline | ODU +205 CCU -250 | ODU +217 CCU -217 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Line movement
Logged : Coastal Carolina by 7, total 45.5.
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why Coastal Carolina can win
- Elo rating: worth about 4.7 points to Coastal Carolina in our ratings.
- Recent form: average margin over the last three games, Coastal Carolina +4.7, Old Dominion -15.7.
- Home field: Coastal Carolina play at home, worth about 3 points in college football.
- Team matchup: where Coastal Carolina can take advantage. Their pass rush (21st of 138) meets the Old Dominion pass protection (137th), so look for them to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws. And their big-play offense (33rd of 138) meets the Old Dominion defense against big plays (65th): a chance to take shots downfield for chunk plays.
- Star matchup: In the backfield, Dominic Knicely (Coastal Carolina: 60 rushing yards a game, 5.3 a carry) has the edge on Devin Roche (Old Dominion: 43, 3.6), facing the Old Dominion run defense (50th of 138).
- Simulation: Coastal Carolina win 6,840 of 10,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: Coastal Carolina 69% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why Coastal Carolina may not
- Efficiency (yards per play): worth about 3.2 points to Old Dominion in our ratings.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations, Coastal Carolina lose by 12 or more.
- Weak spot: Coastal Carolina rank 129th of 138 in defense, yards per play allowed (7.0).
- Weak spot: Coastal Carolina rank 129th of 138 in run defense, yards per carry allowed (6.0).
- Team matchup: where Old Dominion can push back. Their passing game (98th of 138) meets the Coastal Carolina pass defense (121st), so look for them to throw early and often. And their pass rush (75th of 138) meets the Coastal Carolina pass protection (97th): a chance to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Coastal Carolina on paper, but quarterback Jaxon Potter (504 yards, 0 TD; filling in for Quinn Henicle, missed the last 2 games) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Old Dominion win 3,160 of 10,000 simulations (32%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Side by side
| ODU | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 3-5 |
| 16.3 135 | Points per game | 26.8 80 |
| 27.8 102 | Points allowed | 25.1 72 |
| 5.3 124 | Yards per play | 6.0 80 |
| 5.0 17 | Yards per play allowed | 7.0 129 |
| -0.3 106 | Interception margin/game | -0.4 108 |
| 5.7% 75 | Sacks per dropback | 8.3% 21 |
| 1147 124 | Elo rating | 1308 106 |
Small numbers are ranks among 138 FBS teams (1 = best). Elo is CollegeFootballData's rating, updated after every game.
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 Wk 6 | Coastal Carolina 7 @ Old Dominion 47 | ODU |
| 2024-10-05 | 2024 Wk 6 | Old Dominion 37 @ Coastal Carolina 45 | CCU |
| 2023-11-04 | 2023 Wk 10 | Coastal Carolina 28 @ Old Dominion 24 | CCU |
| 2022-10-15 | 2022 Wk 7 | Old Dominion 49 @ Coastal Carolina 21 | ODU |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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