- Marshall Sun Belt - East 2-2, 5th · 5-3 overall · W2
- Georgia Southern Sun Belt - East 3-1, 1st · 4-4 overall · W2
Game day
KickoffThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | GASO -10 | Same |
| Total | 54.5 | 54.3 |
| Moneyline | MRSH +275 GASO -345 | MRSH +292 GASO -292 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Line movement
Logged : Georgia Southern by 10, total 54.5.
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Advantages Why Georgia Southern can win
- Home field: Georgia Southern play at home, worth about 3 points in college football.
- Efficiency (yards per play): worth about 1.8 points to Georgia Southern in our ratings.
- Point differential per game: Georgia Southern rank 74th (+3.2), Marshall 115th (-6.2) of 138 FBS teams.
- Team matchup: where Georgia Southern can take advantage. Their pass rush (27th of 138) meets the Marshall pass protection (74th), so look for them to pressure the quarterback into hurried throws. And their running game (96th of 138) meets the Marshall run defense (131st): a chance to lean on the run and control the clock.
- Star matchup: At quarterback, Max Johnson (Georgia Southern: 7.9 yards per attempt, 9 TD, 2 INT) has the edge on Zion Turner (Marshall: 7.1, 2 TD, 3 INT); off the edge, Anthony Bynum (Georgia Southern: 3 sacks) has the edge on Kelvon Mcbride (Marshall: 2), facing the Marshall pass protection (74th of 138).
- Simulation: Georgia Southern win 7,450 of 10,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: Georgia Southern 76% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why Georgia Southern may not
- Interception margin per game: Marshall rank 8th (+0.8), Georgia Southern 58th (+0.1) of 138 FBS teams.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations, Georgia Southern lose by 10 or more.
- Weak spot: Georgia Southern rank 96th of 138 in running game, yards per carry (4.8).
- Weak spot: Georgia Southern rank 96th of 138 in field goal percentage (66.7%).
- Team matchup: Marshall have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through turnovers, special teams and a few big plays.
- Star matchup: In the backfield, Judah Price (Marshall: 40 rushing yards a game, 5.7 a carry) has the edge on David Mbadinga (Georgia Southern: 30, 5.4), facing the Georgia Southern run defense (30th of 138).
- Upset odds: Marshall win 2,550 of 10,000 simulations (26%). A 74% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Side by side
| MRSH | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 23.5 99 | Points per game | 23.8 96 |
| 29.8 111 | Points allowed | 20.5 35 |
| 5.2 127 | Yards per play | 6.2 59 |
| 6.6 112 | Yards per play allowed | 5.4 38 |
| +0.8 8 | Interception margin/game | +0.1 58 |
| 4.6% 101 | Sacks per dropback | 8.1% 27 |
| 1379 91 | Elo rating | 1402 86 |
Small numbers are ranks among 138 FBS teams (1 = best). Elo is CollegeFootballData's rating, updated after every game.
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 Wk 14 | Georgia Southern 24 @ Marshall 19 | GASO |
| 2024-10-13 | 2024 Wk 7 | Marshall 23 @ Georgia Southern 24 | GASO |
| 2023-11-12 | 2023 Wk 11 | Georgia Southern 33 @ Marshall 38 | MRSH |
| 2022-11-19 | 2022 Wk 12 | Marshall 23 @ Georgia Southern 10 | MRSH |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat