- Delaware CUSA 2-2, 3rd · 4-4 overall · W2
- Kennesaw State CUSA 1-3, 9th · 2-6 overall · W1
Game day
KickoffThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | DEL -2.5 | Same |
| Total | 52.5 | 52.6 |
| Moneyline | DEL -130 KENN +110 | DEL -132 KENN +132 fair |
Line: , sportsbook consensus. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Line movement
Logged : Delaware by 2.5, total 52.5.
Your pick
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What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why Delaware can win
- Elo rating: worth about 4.3 points to Delaware in our ratings.
- Recent form: average margin over the last three games, Delaware +11.3, Kennesaw State -5.0.
- Plays of 20+ yards per game: Delaware rank 24th (5.4), Kennesaw State 124th (3.1) of 138 FBS teams.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Delaware. The nearest thing to one: their big-play offense (24th of 138) meets the Kennesaw State defense against big plays (38th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: At quarterback, Nick Minicucci (Delaware: 9.0 yards per attempt, 13 TD, 4 INT) has the edge on Rickie Collins (Kennesaw State: 7.7, 6 TD, 6 INT); at receiver, Sean Wilson (Delaware: 74 receiving yards a game, 0 TD) has the edge on Javon Rogers (Kennesaw State: 50, 0 TD), facing the Kennesaw State pass defense (86th of 138).
- The betting market agrees: Delaware 55% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: Delaware win 5,700 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Delaware may not
- Home field: Kennesaw State play at home, worth about 3 points in college football.
- Pass protection, sacks allowed per dropback: Kennesaw State rank 21st (3.5%), Delaware 93rd (6.5%) of 138 FBS teams.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations, Delaware lose by 17 or more.
- Efficiency (yards per play): worth about 0.8 points to Kennesaw State in our ratings.
- Team matchup: a strength Delaware may not get to use. Their big-play offense (24th of 138) meets the Kennesaw State defense against big plays (38th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to take shots downfield for chunk plays.
- Star matchup: Off the edge, Ugonna Nwoha (Kennesaw State: 3 sacks) has the edge on Blake Matthews (Delaware: 2), facing the Delaware pass protection (93rd of 138).
- Upset odds: Kennesaw State win 4,300 of 10,000 simulations (43%). A 57% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
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Side by side
| DEL | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 2-6 |
| 29.1 63 | Points per game | 23.0 102 |
| 27.5 100 | Points allowed | 25.4 79 |
| 6.0 86 | Yards per play | 5.6 107 |
| 6.9 124 | Yards per play allowed | 6.1 88 |
| -0.2 96 | Interception margin/game | -0.2 96 |
| 7.8% 33 | Sacks per dropback | 3.2% 130 |
| 1402 86 | Elo rating | 1301 107 |
Small numbers are ranks among 138 FBS teams (1 = best). Elo is CollegeFootballData's rating, updated after every game.
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2004.
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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