Wichita State @ Kansas State
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · American vs Big 12 · · Bramlage Coliseum
- Wichita State Schedule and results
- Kansas State Schedule and results
Game day
No over/under posted yet · our projected total 135.4
- Tip-off
A probability, not a promise. A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
Advantages Why Kansas State can win
- Simulation: Kansas State win 3,985 of 5,000 simulated games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.1 points to Kansas State in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Kansas State 135th (+3.3), Wichita State 291st (-12.1) of 364.
- Home court: Kansas State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Kansas State's offense (97.2 points per 100 possessions, 92nd in Division I) meets a Wichita State defense that ranks 264th.
- Team matchup: where Kansas State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (60th of 364) meets the Wichita State shooting defense (240th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (121st of 364) meets the Wichita State ball security (270th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: At forward, Nastja Claessens (Kansas State: 11.9 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.4) has the edge on Treasure Thompson (Wichita State: 6.1 pts, 4.4 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 4.2); best player against best player, Taryn Sides (Kansas State: 12.4 pts, 3.5 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 9.7) has the edge on Abby Cater (Wichita State: 13.1 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.4).
Disadvantages Why Kansas State may not
- Upset odds: Wichita State win 1,015 of 5,000 simulations (20%). A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Kansas State lose by 7 or more.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Wichita State about 0.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Wichita State 194th (30.8%), Kansas State 308th (26.4%) of 364.
- Weak spot: Kansas State rank 308th of 364 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (26.4%).
- Team matchup: Wichita State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Kansas State on paper, but Abby Cater (13.1 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup. Answers come only from the numbers on this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
An AI reads this page for you and can get things wrong; the numbers above are the source. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
The line and our numbers
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | KSU -9.4 |
| Total points | n/a | 135.4 |
| Win chance | WICH n/a · KSU n/a | WICH 20% · KSU 80% |
| Moneyline | WICH +392 · KSU -392 (fair) |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.
5,000 simulated games, possession by possession
- Typical score: Kansas State 80, Wichita State 70.
- 80% of simulations land between Wichita State by 7 and Kansas State by 26.
Still out?
Women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.
WICH Wichita State
Every regular played last game.
KSU Kansas State
Every regular played last game.
Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| WICH | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -12.1 291 | Net rating | +3.3 135 |
| 83.3 291 | Offensive rating | 97.2 92 |
| 95.4 264 | Defensive rating | 93.9 238 |
| +0.2 146 | Strength of schedule | +1.9 32 |
| 42.0% 294 | Effective FG% | 49.6% 60 |
| 46.5% 240 | Opponent eFG% | 47.9% 284 |
| 24.9 270 | Turnovers per 100 | 20.4 88 |
| 30.8% 194 | Offensive rebound % | 26.4% 308 |
| 26.4% 330 | 3-point % | 34.5% 41 |
| 71.2 177 | Pace | 71.9 146 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-16 | Postseason | Wichita State 56 @ Kansas State 90 | KSU |
| 2014-12-12 | 2014-15 | Kansas State 48 @ Wichita State 51 | WICH |
| 2013-11-20 | 2013-14 | Wichita State 69 @ Kansas State 46 | WICH |
| 2012-12-04 | 2012-13 | Kansas State 48 @ Wichita State 43 | KSU |
| 2011-12-07 | 2011-12 | Wichita State 34 @ Kansas State 60 | KSU |
Your pick
Make your pick before kickoff and see how you stack up against the Mango. Challenge a friend on this game · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (12 points in a typical NCAAW game).
Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat
Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 11,204 Division I games since 2020-21. Model version 1. How it works